South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CA Platense (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbaa216fb6b78bcdf3fcaee4e39e762fcbee65ffa29e74b50c30f1b93e85becfa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Independiente Santa Feof CA Platense, Independiente Santa Fe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Independiente Santa Fe | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Independiente Santa Fe | 71c | 1,575$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.75 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc16…5d4abacked Independiente Santa Fe | 71c | 1,575$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed CA Platense | 25c | 1,174$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.87 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Independiente Santa Fe | 75c | 1,014$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.47 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Independiente Santa Fe | 71c | 866.12$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.09 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Independiente Santa Fe | 72c | 619.5$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.39 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Independiente Santa Fe | 71c | 356.87$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.12 | 117 | 63.2%74 W · 43 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed CA Platense | 25c | 325$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.25 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed CA Platense | 25c | 325$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.25 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked CA Platense | 27c | 299.15$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.91 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked CA Platense | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Independiente Santa Fe | 76c | 249.39$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Independiente Santa Fe | 71c | 240$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked CA Platense | 25c | 225$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed CA Platense | 25c | 205$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed CA Platense | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked CA Platense | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Independiente Santa Fe | 71c | 142.6$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2a…ea49backed CA Platense | 28c | 137.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Independiente Santa Fe | 78c | 126.92$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked CA Platense | 25c | 125$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Independiente Santa Fe | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Independiente Santa Fe | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked CA Platense | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed CA Platense | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed CA Platense | 25c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked CA Platense | 25c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked CA Platense | 25c | 62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed CA Platense | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed CA Platense | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Independiente Santa Fe | 73c | 26.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Independiente Santa Fe | 71c | 26.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…af55backed Independiente Santa Fe | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63c3…a7fdbacked Independiente Santa Fe | 73c | 18.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CA Platense (-1.5)this page
- CA Platense vs. Independiente Santa Fe: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Platense vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.