South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Platense vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46826b9e27dce9a62178aa33a8d67bfca3819e75f3f551246f13677c514f5897
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Over | 62c | 14,314$8,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,440.32 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 10,924$5,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,067.56 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 42c | 1,919$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.15 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 38c | 1,125$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.5 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 41c | 1,093$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.58 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 38c | 1,005$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.84 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 39c | 758.73$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.73 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 69c | 605.8$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 31c | 602$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.38 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 31c | 539.77$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.44 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 31c | 321.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.2 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…bbb5backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 38c | 196.73$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.09 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 38c | 174.61$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.32 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Over | 63c | 139.19$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 37c | 116.57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 39c | 102.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6a…cbfbbacked Under | 50c | 92.66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 57c | 79.47$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.87 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa733…5264backed Over | 54c | 62.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b9…f1c2backed Under | 62c | 48.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Over | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 37c | 46.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 56c | 43.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 65c | 41.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…d0bfbacked Over | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 44c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 54c | 34.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 70c | 26.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3317…166abacked Over | 77c | 23.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0e…accebacked Over | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 54c | 18.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Under | 70c | 15.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Platense vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Platense vs. Independiente Santa Fe: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Platense vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CA Platense (-1.5)Independiente Santa Fe won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.