Mls · resolved market
FC Cincinnati vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf9358aa1c8add2a9d84ed067568ec71ec42112bfd922ade19bd42693049799a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe4d6…308abacked Under | 43c | 30,341$13,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,109.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Over | 56c | 7,100$3,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,124 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 55c | 6,590$3,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,965.28 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Over | 56c | 5,076$2,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,233.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Over | 58c | 4,230$2,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.6 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.82 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Under | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 50c | 1,823$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.49 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 51c | 1,748$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.25 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 56c | 1,632$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.91 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 56c | 1,600$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 39c | 1,247$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.73 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Over | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 67c | 1,173$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.29 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 44c | 1,042$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.3 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Over | 58c | 1,022$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.23 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Over | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a8…0753backed Over | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…c069backed Over | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1362…f403backed Over | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 55c | 999.96$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.98 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 55c | 880.59$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.27 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Over | 56c | 700$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 56c | 683.04$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.54 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 53c | 631.77$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.48 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 44c | 616.44$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.35 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 56c | 604$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.76 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Over | 56c | 592$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.48 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 51c | 545.13$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.02 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 47c | 543.36$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Over | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 56c | 462.46$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.48 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 56c | 452.8$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.53 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 57c | 438.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.65 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…9136backed Under | 45c | 429.36$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 411$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.6 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Over | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 44c | 376.35$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.14 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4a…044ebacked Over | 56c | 328.18$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 56c | 320.01$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.8 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 45c | 316$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.2 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Over | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Over | 57c | 294.73$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.73 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 63c | 281.59$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.93 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Over | 56c | 270$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 45c | 266.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 57c | 265.92$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.34 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Over | 56c | 260$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over | 56c | 260$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 56c | 258.88$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.9 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d37…0dbfbacked Over | 60c | 252.08$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 41c | 249.92$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.47 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 56c | 196$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.01 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 55c | 192.73$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.73 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Under | 43c | 172.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.64 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Over | 56c | 160$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Over | 56c | 156$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over | 56c | 156$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 43c | 151.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.95 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 45c | 146.67$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 57c | 142.79$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.04 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Over | 56c | 140$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 44c | 136.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 56c | 124.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.95 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 56c | 124$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…e559backed Under | 45c | 121.11$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Under | 52c | 96.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x952d…ab8abacked Over | 56c | 89.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Over | 56c | 87.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 55c | 85.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 45c | 81.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 61c | 80.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Over | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 40c | 79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 39c | 77.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Over | 63c | 76.89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 48c | 76.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…0c75backed Over | 65c | 75.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 24c | 73.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 56c | 71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 43c | 71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Over | 56c | 70.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Over | 56c | 65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 50c | 60.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f91…b1ffbacked Over | 48c | 59.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +121%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…8b13backed Over | 56c | 58.55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0896…5607backed Over | 50c | 58.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Over | 55c | 57.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Over | 63c | 56.03$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Cincinnati vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Cincinnati vs. Orlando City SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Cincinnati vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Cincinnati vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Cincinnati vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Cincinnati (-1.5)FC Cincinnati won
- Spread: FC Cincinnati (-2.5)FC Cincinnati won
- Spread: Orlando City SC (-1.5)FC Cincinnati won
- Spread: Orlando City SC (-2.5)FC Cincinnati won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.