Mls · resolved market
FC Cincinnati vs. Orlando City SC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x208c51c5ab04ee1d78448ae21dddbc9da4efea0772d45a6104481834a80802db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 71c | 6,249$4,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.23 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 29c | 3,970$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.17 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 28c | 2,460$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.8 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 70c | 1,516$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.15 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 29c | 1,289$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.24 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 29c | 1,183$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.98 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 28c | 842.36$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 71c | 749.98$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.24 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 70c | 608$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.4 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 30c | 494.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 71c | 389.63$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.76 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed No | 30c | 305.05$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.45 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yes | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 29c | 274.58$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.63 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 31c | 246.61$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.27 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Yes | 72c | 187.98$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Yes | 71c | 180$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 72c | 178$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.94 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 72c | 177.99$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.67 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Yes | 69c | 167.63$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.97 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 31c | 162$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 29c | 156.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 27c | 126.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed No | 30c | 122.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 16c | 104.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 71c | 100.23$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9e…e6b8backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 19c | 87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 28c | 85.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 28c | 83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 19c | 81.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 71c | 80.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 71c | 71.74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…6aafbacked Yes | 72c | 68.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 29c | 65.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 29c | 65.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed No | 18c | 59.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Yes | 71c | 50.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 71c | 49.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 70c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked No | 29c | 35.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 34 | 79.4%27 W · 7 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 79c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x083f…ff1cbacked Yes | 71c | 22.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Cincinnati vs. Orlando City SC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Cincinnati vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Cincinnati vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Cincinnati vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Cincinnati vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Cincinnati (-1.5)FC Cincinnati won
- Spread: FC Cincinnati (-2.5)FC Cincinnati won
- Spread: Orlando City SC (-1.5)FC Cincinnati won
- Spread: Orlando City SC (-2.5)FC Cincinnati won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.