Mls · resolved market
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-05-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa996ab9d8ba9331a53039f782c52e815e7593f2a1670a0e6062c7f097953aaa2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 22c | 4,286$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.14 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 74c | 3,038$2,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.63 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed Yes | 62c | 1,563$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.86 | 34 | 79.4%27 W · 7 L | +9.3wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 33c | 997.67$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.23 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 77c | 903.65$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.39 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 42c | 710.56$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.01 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked No | 11c | 689.91$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 77c | 570$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.72 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 21c | 567.96$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.45 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 37c | 540.09$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.87 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 58c | 351$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.42 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 67c | 342$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.86 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 56c | 300.08$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.54 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed No | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -7.4wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -41%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 29c | 256.03$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.52 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed No | 42c | 243.48$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 44c | 227.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 58c | 218.14$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.68 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 42c | 208.83$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.71 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Yes | 58c | 206.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 43c | 176.35$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.83 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6021…4c5cbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 72c | 165.22$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 10c | 155.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…82fcbacked Yes | 56c | 144.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +159.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 42c | 133.81$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 58c | 125.17$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.57 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 42c | 121.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 68c | 114.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 58c | 112$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.09 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Yes | 77c | 106$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 14c | 94.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed Yes | 77c | 93.16$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 23c | 80.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 69c | 68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Yes | 68c | 67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 28c | 61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…1d74backed No | 18c | 57.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Yes | 76c | 52.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked No | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked Yes | 57c | 36.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 77c | 35.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 58c | 34.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed No | 44c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 66c | 28.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7a…bdb5backed Yes | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…9b21backed Yes | 56c | 23.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 58c | 22.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe94…b9cdbacked Yes | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will San Diego FC win on 2026-05-13?this page
- Will Austin FC win on 2026-05-13?No won
- Will San Diego FC vs. Austin FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.