Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: Bilibili Gaming vs. FunPlus Phoenix
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x129626aed716188e62a80b7bbbe01b0bf15a53337afb7bf1909163df91395cd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bilibiliof Bilibili, FunPlus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf6e9…831abacked FunPlus | 13c | 8,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed FunPlus | 12c | 7,106$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.24 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked FunPlus | 10c | 2,010$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 91 | 27.5%25 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed FunPlus | 13c | 1,800$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.24 | 1,204 | 44.6%537 W · 667 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed FunPlus | 13c | 1,514$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.05 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed FunPlus | 13c | 1,006$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2,274 | 37.2%847 W · 1,427 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed FunPlus | 2c | 910$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked FunPlus | 13c | 600$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 194 | 51%99 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed FunPlus | 11c | 598$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.72 | 528 | 38.8%205 W · 323 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed FunPlus | 12c | 220$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…d9d7backed FunPlus | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd0…652bbacked FunPlus | 13c | 148.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -37%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed FunPlus | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…f95ebacked FunPlus | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e9…c21ebacked FunPlus | 11c | 110$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked FunPlus | 11c | 99.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.