TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Rangers vs. Rays

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raysof Rangers, Rays
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$732,479
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$738,982

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $732,479 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e16…c743backed Rangers46c543,410$249,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249,996.4230%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x15e0…8d86backed Rays55c245,826$134,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111,130.9711153.2%59 W · 52 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed Rays57c128,491$73,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,418.936556.9%37 W · 28 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Rays53c65,807$35,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,716.6886751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rays53c50,802$27,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,782.591,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc605…d372backed Rangers47c37,826$17,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,958.158641.9%36 W · 50 L-15.3wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-32.4%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rays52c27,881$14,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,314.741,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Rays56c26,263$14,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,493.0941850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d36…10d5backed Rays58c24,711$14,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,378.62250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Rangers43c20,796$8,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,942.1427948.4%135 W · 144 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rays30c18,025$5,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,603.782,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1752…7993backed Rays56c16,855$9,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,393.713262.9%83 W · 49 L+12.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+93.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Rangers58c13,928$8,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,127.691,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa340…f6c0backed Rays58c9,998$5,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,199.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e12…b366backed Rangers42c9,995$4,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,197.8920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2efd…be4cbacked Rangers42c9,700$4,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,074771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+50.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Rays60c9,506$5,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,782.8425550.6%129 W · 126 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe768…9d43backed Rays49c8,303$4,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,236.3819650.5%99 W · 97 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Rays55c7,791$4,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,534.31,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a56…3b4ebacked Rangers42c6,786$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,850.12757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+36.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Rays48c6,700$3,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,485.0797950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3499…4f27backed Rangers42c5,702$2,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,394.84580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick40cpaid+103.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rays55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2501,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Rays59c4,808$2,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,989.125551%130 W · 125 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays55c4,528$2,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,045.732,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rays53c4,507$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,107.1873352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Rangers43c4,444$1,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,910.998149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rays46c4,005$1,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,153.379,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rays56c3,716$2,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,647.461,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Rays13c3,432$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,991.0217136.8%63 W · 108 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Rays54c2,700$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.9968656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8921…fbd0backed Rangers42c2,167$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.14475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+68.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Rays57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86033349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6eb8…74b8backed Rays58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8403452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Rays57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.9826453.8%142 W · 122 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c40…5f2cbacked Rangers42c1,987$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.532050%10 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a06…1e43backed Rangers46c1,615$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.939920.2%20 W · 79 L-12.4wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-41.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Rays32c1,577$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0751,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Rays55c1,333$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.7325954.1%140 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cce…5a68backed Rangers42c1,300$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5461361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x674d…def3backed Rays55c1,273$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.6714444.4%64 W · 80 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Rangers47c1,234$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.9869249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e4a…2a73backed Rays58c1,150$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+43.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5eeb…8253backed Rays58c1,100$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4621346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Rangers46c1,091$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.5224844%109 W · 139 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9304…f693backed Rangers52c1,066$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.858530.6%26 W · 59 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Rays60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4009843.9%43 W · 55 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Rangers44c999.99$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf75…7352backed Rangers42c950$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3991020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-61%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Rays55c915.25$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.7588549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80a0…5677backed Rays55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Rays52c867.84$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.8340547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Rays56c810.77$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.7779740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Rays12c653.84$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.8412624.6%31 W · 95 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Rangers43c610.63$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.5714648.6%71 W · 75 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Rangers62c598.83$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.4896133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Rays54c568.99$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.1743250.7%219 W · 213 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Rays11c550$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4911,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Rangers43c547.66$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.1585047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Rays57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21533852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Rays6c486.4$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.594754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Rays56c455.52$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.4371751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Rays54c447.13$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.681,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae09…fa6dbacked Rays56c445.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.227549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Rays54c442$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.3245248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e4e…437cbacked Rays55c429.09$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.091586.7%13 W · 2 L+4.6wins+0.31per pick56cpaid+65.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2fe0…6e30backed Rays35c420$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2757135.2%25 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacbc…4b92backed Rays55c401.95$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.884438.6%17 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Rays55c400$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18216347.2%77 W · 86 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Rangers47c395.27$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18617754.8%97 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a27…fe44backed Rays15c379.39$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.488842%37 W · 51 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf187…16c0backed Rangers42c356$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.52425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Rays58c343.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.4638455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94ce…8160backed Rangers46c300$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.25520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-66.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Rays55c292.98$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.975,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Rays16c281.25$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.2520523.4%48 W · 157 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Rays55c269.76$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.3919852.5%104 W · 94 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Rangers6c224$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.85053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Rangers45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038245.5%174 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Rays59c208.4$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.423852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Rangers72c207$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.4368769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Rangers42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1fd…af0dbacked Rays60c192.57$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.14652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Rangers64c180$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.251953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked Rangers41c169.49$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.497554.7%41 W · 34 L+8.8wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+26.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x73b8…aa92backed Rangers41c168.78$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7035652.5%187 W · 169 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf96d…81f0backed Rays18c164.84$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.843231.3%10 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Rangers63c158.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020367%136 W · 67 L+0.5wins0.00per pick67cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95ec…4b7ebacked Rays54c153.65$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6538743.2%167 W · 220 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7703…34b9backed Rays57c149.99$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649550.5%48 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051d…6980backed Rays55c142.18$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6720343.8%89 W · 114 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bbd…606cbacked Rangers46c139.13$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649237%34 W · 58 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Rays57c134.09$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6617155%94 W · 77 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Rangers42c118.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.221,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98a8…cddfbacked Rangers42c115$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27dc…efb8backed Rays58c115$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb39…7a04backed Rangers43c114.79$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x356e…8f87backed Rays58c114$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.