Middle East · resolved market
Iran military response by Sunday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b1d22011f3ee2a7794daf1a7f3fd1092222cf8c5ae9be251abdf215926da14b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $160,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 4c | 20,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed Yes | 7c | 17,180$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.21 | 98 | 15.3%15 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x105b…08f0backed Yes | 12c | 9,135$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.86 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffb3…ad95backed Yes | 0c | 7,649$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb999…8441backed Yes | 6c | 4,993$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.55 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 35cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a28…3ca9backed Yes | 15c | 4,541$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.54 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…7a17backed Yes | 9c | 4,105$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 8c | 4,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed Yes | 25c | 3,770$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc411…caa7backed Yes | 6c | 3,068$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 8c | 2,920$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.43 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…6bcbbacked Yes | 7c | 2,692$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.63 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…532bbacked Yes | 5c | 2,613$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.32 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Yes | 8c | 2,513$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.06 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…a81bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,233$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…5535backed No | 64c | 2,193$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.08 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 73c | 2,054$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.9 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2736…3625backed Yes | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48a6…6bd0backed No | 71c | 1,826$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…4c4cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,691$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.01 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd3…6346backed Yes | 28c | 1,679$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f5…9663backed Yes | 23c | 1,621$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.95 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 10c | 1,503$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.55 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…1ecdbacked Yes | 5c | 1,500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…d0cfbacked Yes | 21c | 1,362$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ab…3e5cbacked Yes | 41c | 1,219$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 5c | 1,111$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ca…e5cfbacked Yes | 10c | 1,036$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…64abbacked Yes | 6c | 999.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3921…0cf4backed Yes | 8c | 987.15$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a0…d247backed Yes | 7c | 967.93$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.85 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…8531backed Yes | 26c | 907.52$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec8…96a5backed No | 74c | 894$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.18 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c6…b942backed Yes | 19c | 891.68$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.65 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69f…6874backed Yes | 9c | 844.52$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.23 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…74d1backed Yes | 34c | 835.5$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Yes | 5c | 743.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad5…03a1backed Yes | 21c | 708.55$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed No | 75c | 707.73$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.83 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5d34backed No | 68c | 703$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.14 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3391…ed51backed Yes | 23c | 672.26$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…b93fbacked Yes | 40c | 668$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed No | 60c | 668$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.2 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c29…ac77backed Yes | 40c | 661.8$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7108…7492backed No | 48c | 626.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.35 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…35d2backed Yes | 13c | 610$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0491…dbe0backed Yes | 25c | 597$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 73c | 591$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.57 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed No | 66c | 575.08$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.4 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…c19dbacked Yes | 14c | 566.46$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2600…2829backed Yes | 15c | 549.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cc…31fdbacked Yes | 5c | 520$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…a9bfbacked Yes | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1c…5fe8backed Yes | 32c | 499.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.24per pick | 28cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…b473backed Yes | 32c | 466.67$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.71 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Yes | 7c | 422.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8f…a260backed No | 78c | 400$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb98…8bfdbacked No | 80c | 399.98$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked No | 76c | 375$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…ced9backed No | 80c | 357.94$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.77 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…95afbacked Yes | 24c | 355$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc5…3f96backed Yes | 7c | 349.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3083…7d86backed Yes | 6c | 348.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe406…f3c0backed Yes | 6c | 342.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ee…ec14backed No | 60c | 332.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.18 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fd…9fc2backed Yes | 45c | 329.31$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e66…8c05backed Yes | 28c | 310$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 41c | 299.97$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.99 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -9.6wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2de1…45a9backed Yes | 10c | 280.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…8114backed No | 72c | 257.72$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.51 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…0f73backed Yes | 42c | 255.15$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.45 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe085…5474backed Yes | 21c | 235.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +123.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1459…ab65backed No | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8109…aedabacked No | 70c | 232.53$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1804…9408backed Yes | 7c | 228.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ea…4d9fbacked Yes | 67c | 221.88$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed No | 62c | 219.87$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.41 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x405b…5f3ebacked Yes | 23c | 199.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…b64ebacked Yes | 26c | 199.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked No | 60c | 199.98$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.49 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…2896backed No | 78c | 199.74$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.94 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…82d7backed No | 75c | 196.72$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…b283backed No | 78c | 196.37$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbd…2685backed Yes | 23c | 194.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x619a…1c64backed Yes | 27c | 193.32$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4c…8a04backed Yes | 32c | 189.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…e2d4backed No | 79c | 189.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…0d5ebacked Yes | 30c | 174.77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37b…edb2backed No | 65c | 169.33$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed Yes | 37c | 157.38$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.23 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4320…767dbacked Yes | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d24…d227backed No | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6e…96ffbacked No | 63c | 149.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa218…94cdbacked No | 36c | 124.85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.15 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90de…0a6dbacked No | 71c | 113.12$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…6c48backed No | 80c | 113$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcab1…b2b1backed Yes | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.