NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4c6c2e47674249da4b93c974ecd93c1ebda31b4379ae8bdfcd4574525855d96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Hornets, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $251,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $262,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $251,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa0f5…d81bbacked Hornets | 4c | 50,004$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020.2 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets | 6c | 30,150$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Hornets | 1c | 10,620$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Hornets | 6c | 9,292$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.51 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Hornets | 12c | 9,171$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.08 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Hornets | 7c | 7,797$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.63 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Hornets | 10c | 7,666$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.64 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Hornets | 5c | 6,172$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.06 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Hornets | 0c | 5,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Hornets | 5c | 4,538$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.91 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Hornets | 9c | 4,386$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.74 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Hornets | 6c | 4,170$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.2 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Hornets | 4c | 3,506$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.43 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Hornets | 5c | 3,157$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.83 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Hornets | 6c | 2,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Hornets | 1c | 2,400$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Hornets | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Hornets | 1c | 1,827$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Hornets | 6c | 1,702$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.08 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Hornets | 9c | 1,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Hornets | 8c | 1,275$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Hornets | 6c | 1,162$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Hornets | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…8846backed Hornets | 7c | 1,002$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Hornets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Hornets | 6c | 857.15$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Hornets | 1c | 817$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b8…976cbacked Hornets | 13c | 778.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca34…8cb1backed Hornets | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Hornets | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ee…bf85backed Hornets | 7c | 637$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.96 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Hornets | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hornets | 8c | 480.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Hornets | 5c | 405$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Hornets | 10c | 375.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Celtics | 80c | 373.73$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.93 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Hornets | 8c | 300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0753…25b2backed Hornets | 11c | 276.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Hornets | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 718 | 23.3%167 W · 551 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…a1e9backed Hornets | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7824…286fbacked Hornets | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…c4d4backed Hornets | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Hornets | 15c | 218.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Hornets | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Hornets | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 388 | 45.9%178 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd76f…f0cebacked Hornets | 8c | 180$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…3917backed Hornets | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Hornets | 7c | 136.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…a576backed Hornets | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 157 | 24.2%38 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd532…0f2cbacked Hornets | 22c | 89.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a5…877dbacked Celtics | 77c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.