Boxing · resolved market
Zuffa Boxing 6: Rodriguez vs. Katzourakis (Middleweight, Main)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb30e279fe68c1c162596183f112fc3c27302fd321b94859814d0a631a290d2d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Katzourakisof Rodriguez, Katzourakis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Rodriguez | 8c | 1,206$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…23bdbacked Katzourakis | 78c | 890$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Rodriguez | 24c | 890$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Rodriguez | 14c | 441.33$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.89 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…022bbacked Katzourakis | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff87…f5f7backed Rodriguez | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…f4ffbacked Rodriguez | 40c | 61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ff…032dbacked Rodriguez | 37c | 43.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7465…caa8backed Rodriguez | 66c | 30.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f7…21b8backed Katzourakis | 67c | 29.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f75…d3fbbacked Katzourakis | 70c | 28.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Katzourakis | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d93…9ed1backed Rodriguez | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Katzourakis | 62c | 17.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.