Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Sakkari (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d249f79ede7677857d07afbf28c8122d91631f4b4dd5dd544e839eb44c45f63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sakkariof Swiatek, Sakkari
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,715
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0d3…f300backed Swiatek | 0c | 12,600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Swiatek | 1c | 7,490$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sakkari | 34c | 1,294$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.49 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Swiatek | 76c | 1,231$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.15 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Sakkari | 32c | 978.84$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.84 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Sakkari | 41c | 726.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.98 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Swiatek | 68c | 723.76$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.15 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Swiatek | 66c | 466.78$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.14 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…a29dbacked Swiatek | 72c | 419.46$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.41 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Sakkari | 66c | 304.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.17 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Swiatek | 70c | 295.17$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.22 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21a…88edbacked Swiatek | 63c | 291.63$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.47 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Swiatek | 61c | 277.38$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.49 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Sakkari | 28c | 259.46$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.81 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Sakkari | 24c | 250$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Sakkari | 66c | 197.19$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.42 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Sakkari | 27c | 177.6$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.14 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…7505backed Swiatek | 49c | 160.59$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Sakkari | 29c | 160$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.6 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -11.0wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0c…e795backed Sakkari | 58c | 159.58$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb570…f7cdbacked Swiatek | 72c | 139.59$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Swiatek | 75c | 132.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Sakkari | 61c | 131.75$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 465 | 51.2%238 W · 227 L | -23.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Swiatek | 68c | 127.01$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.88 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked Sakkari | 62c | 122.05$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 188 | 68.6%129 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Swiatek | 60c | 121$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.34 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Swiatek | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…06cbbacked Swiatek | 44c | 113.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 170 | 56.5%96 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Swiatek | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.85 | 240 | 55%132 W · 108 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Sakkari | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Swiatek | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 542 | 49.3%267 W · 275 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Sakkari | 38c | 90$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.61 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3da…c91fbacked Swiatek | 69c | 81.16$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.06 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96cb…75cbbacked Swiatek | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 114 | 26.3%30 W · 84 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…4a23backed Swiatek | 39c | 66.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Sakkari | 31c | 64.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Sakkari | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Sakkari | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Sakkari | 58c | 58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Sakkari | 24c | 52.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Sakkari | 30c | 46.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Swiatek | 44c | 45.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Sakkari | 43c | 41.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…05ecbacked Swiatek | 38c | 36.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 140 | 31.4%44 W · 96 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Swiatek | 44c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Swiatek | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 287 | 62.4%179 W · 108 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Swiatek | 61c | 29.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -7.6wins | -0.25per pick | 44cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bb…15eebacked Swiatek | 76c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Swiatek | 66c | 20.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4725…619bbacked Swiatek | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Swiatek | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Sakkari (+1.5)this page
- Qatar Total Open: Iga Swiatek vs Maria SakkariSakkari won
- Set 1 Winner: Swiatek vs SakkariSwiatek won
- Swiatek vs. Sakkari: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Swiatek vs. Sakkari: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.