TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Butler Bulldogs vs. DePaul Blue Demons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Butler Bulldogsof Butler Bulldogs, DePaul Blue Demons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$129,364

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,364 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa9a6…0009backed DePaul Blue Demons41c32,839$13,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,482.662832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-32.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Butler Bulldogs38c19,745$7,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,144.1689645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dc8…da92backed Butler Bulldogs62c16,998$10,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,459.365056%28 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked DePaul Blue Demons61c9,000$5,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,49090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed DePaul Blue Demons21c7,439$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,550.421636.1%78 W · 138 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x934e…e7c0backed DePaul Blue Demons62c5,599$3,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,471.1440%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed DePaul Blue Demons39c5,577$2,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,178.762,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed DePaul Blue Demons62c4,731$2,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,933.0114854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Butler Bulldogs57c4,184$2,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,790.9831646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Butler Bulldogs38c2,678$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,652.292,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Butler Bulldogs57c2,168$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.752,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Butler Bulldogs56c1,639$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.093,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35cd…9fa9backed DePaul Blue Demons22c1,500$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33530%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf606…440abacked DePaul Blue Demons62c1,488$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.3318349.2%90 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Butler Bulldogs40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60021549.3%106 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Butler Bulldogs41c999.99$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59355532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed DePaul Blue Demons62c988.75$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.9326254.2%142 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Butler Bulldogs72c876.31$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.915,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked DePaul Blue Demons61c785.22$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.9825043.2%108 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed DePaul Blue Demons59c705.2$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.071,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked DePaul Blue Demons46c683.74$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.8914151.1%72 W · 69 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed DePaul Blue Demons60c622.34$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.492246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Butler Bulldogs39c513$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.9326749.1%131 W · 136 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4db9…14f5backed Butler Bulldogs39c508.55$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.222326.1%6 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8edd…a1a2backed DePaul Blue Demons59c504.17$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.4620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda22…6d2abacked DePaul Blue Demons45c436.5$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.262722.2%6 W · 21 L-6.0wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-45.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked DePaul Blue Demons60c409.65$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.741,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Butler Bulldogs46c399.5$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.231,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed DePaul Blue Demons59c382.58$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.3837947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Butler Bulldogs52c354.36$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.8912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Butler Bulldogs58c350.7$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.345,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…8276backed Butler Bulldogs44c346.98$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.8115243.4%66 W · 86 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x974a…98c3backed DePaul Blue Demons59c328.69$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.931346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Butler Bulldogs69c322.26$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.481,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Butler Bulldogs40c296.46$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.91,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee76…e67abacked DePaul Blue Demons62c279.93$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.5611362.8%71 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe292…a29dbacked Butler Bulldogs59c277.88$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.33855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked DePaul Blue Demons38c258.63$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.891,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Butler Bulldogs51c213.71$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.5161446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Butler Bulldogs49c212.8$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.287346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Butler Bulldogs46c204.32$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.335052%26 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Butler Bulldogs41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1182,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Butler Bulldogs41c199.15$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.1749157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Butler Bulldogs55c193.38$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.024,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed DePaul Blue Demons50c174.46$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.993247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Butler Bulldogs63c167.86$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.883,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Butler Bulldogs56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Butler Bulldogs57c120.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5794036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Butler Bulldogs66c100.66$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.312,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b98…e295backed Butler Bulldogs41c99.15$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.52245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Butler Bulldogs41c89.28$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6824432%78 W · 166 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed DePaul Blue Demons39c88.02$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.763,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed Butler Bulldogs39c87$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8116755.7%93 W · 74 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked DePaul Blue Demons47c85.81$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6177142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Butler Bulldogs73c81.9$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0860551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed Butler Bulldogs57c81.8$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1715246.7%71 W · 81 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Butler Bulldogs69c80$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.561,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Butler Bulldogs41c79.32$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.861244.9%275 W · 337 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Butler Bulldogs64c68.19$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.781,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x934c…d02bbacked DePaul Blue Demons21c61.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.964156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked DePaul Blue Demons57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4433445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf73…53edbacked Butler Bulldogs42c59.49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked DePaul Blue Demons59c59.07$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8558652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Butler Bulldogs41c57.82$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8929337.2%109 W · 184 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5271…0f95backed Butler Bulldogs42c57.51$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.356740.3%27 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Butler Bulldogs67c54.35$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6718548.6%90 W · 95 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Butler Bulldogs64c53.64$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.174,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed DePaul Blue Demons41c53.2$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.061,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked DePaul Blue Demons25c52.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1325829.5%76 W · 182 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93e3…e590backed DePaul Blue Demons53c52.23$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.685623.2%13 W · 43 L-9.9wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-46.7%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x86f3…c859backed DePaul Blue Demons59c50.42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd12…a7b8backed DePaul Blue Demons62c49.59$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7418644.6%83 W · 103 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0388…7322backed Butler Bulldogs42c47.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.38250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdf1…a9cebacked Butler Bulldogs42c43.62$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+29.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Butler Bulldogs39c42$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6282846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x035b…3ca0backed Butler Bulldogs51c39.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.593050%15 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e5d…5bc8backed Butler Bulldogs64c38.75$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.952755.6%15 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86e7…5a35backed DePaul Blue Demons36c38.69$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.935322.6%12 W · 41 L-8.2wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-39.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed DePaul Blue Demons58c38.06$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0243053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d51…7317backed Butler Bulldogs39c35.6$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.722133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed Butler Bulldogs43c34.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4929954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Butler Bulldogs39c32.73$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9625837.6%97 W · 161 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4522…ef10backed Butler Bulldogs61c32.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.684057.5%23 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe825…39b7backed DePaul Blue Demons53c30.72$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.282343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfda1…454fbacked DePaul Blue Demons53c30.72$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.282334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x29aa…e4eabacked DePaul Blue Demons53c30.72$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.281827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-36.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x191a…2ea6backed Butler Bulldogs70c29.78$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.931172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick71cpaid-0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Butler Bulldogs41c26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3427650.7%140 W · 136 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Butler Bulldogs61c24.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.513174.2%23 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c7e…b137backed DePaul Blue Demons62c22.31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.835547.3%26 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed DePaul Blue Demons54c22.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9955840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed DePaul Blue Demons59c21.81$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8781528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6436…aa37backed DePaul Blue Demons53c20.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.855433.3%18 W · 36 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-28.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb28a…ba10backed DePaul Blue Demons53c20.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.851546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x784f…7593backed DePaul Blue Demons53c20.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.851450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43e7…80d0backed DePaul Blue Demons53c20.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.851442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.