Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe08a6e536dbdf97b0fe0c57497fa59dac59c6e5a50093de03125c9a538f43ab5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seton Hall Piratesof Connecticut Huskies, Seton Hall Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb44f…8c20backed Seton Hall Pirates | 54c | 2,460$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.65 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Connecticut Huskies | 49c | 1,983$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.33 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Connecticut Huskies | 50c | 1,887$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.62 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Connecticut Huskies | 46c | 1,161$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.78 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Seton Hall Pirates | 50c | 990.64$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.32 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Seton Hall Pirates | 51c | 677.48$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.97 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Seton Hall Pirates | 51c | 588.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.23 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…a29dbacked Connecticut Huskies | 59c | 325.44$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.01 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Seton Hall Pirates | 41c | 319.22$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.34 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Seton Hall Pirates | 51c | 102.82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Seton Hall Pirates | 51c | 90.2$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Connecticut Huskies | 49c | 48.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Seton Hall Pirates | 54c | 45.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Seton Hall Pirates | 52c | 35.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 53c | 30.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Seton Hall Pirates | 50c | 29.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 72c | 25.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Connecticut Huskies | 51c | 24.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-13.5)this page
- Seton Hall Pirates vs. Connecticut HuskiesConnecticut Huskies won
- Seton Hall Pirates vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 130.5Over won
- Seton Hall Pirates vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 131.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.