Tennis · resolved market
Miyazaki: Yuto Oki vs Andre Ilagan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04febc605ace3a509668f7d02e6149f6fe170309681eb9da90b98712a3da8589
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andre Ilaganof Yuto Oki, Andre Ilagan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yuto Oki | 4c | 6,322$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.36 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yuto Oki | 16c | 4,184$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.14 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yuto Oki | 8c | 2,578$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.98 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Yuto Oki | 12c | 2,427$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.24 | 302 | 25.8%78 W · 224 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Yuto Oki | 18c | 1,882$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.37 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked Yuto Oki | 13c | 1,858$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.89 | 307 | 15.6%48 W · 259 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdef8…4a8ebacked Yuto Oki | 11c | 1,243$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yuto Oki | 3c | 955.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yuto Oki | 17c | 870.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.03 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yuto Oki | 10c | 667.91$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.76 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yuto Oki | 19c | 494.43$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.72 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad3…fb0fbacked Yuto Oki | 20c | 476$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yuto Oki | 10c | 448.03$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Yuto Oki | 17c | 415.66$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…dd32backed Yuto Oki | 25c | 391.36$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yuto Oki | 17c | 225.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 369 | 44.4%164 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Yuto Oki | 15c | 224.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 405 | 48.1%195 W · 210 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Yuto Oki | 10c | 218.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yuto Oki | 15c | 167.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Andre Ilagan | 80c | 161.97$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 1,425 | 55.1%785 W · 640 L | +23.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33e…b4b6backed Yuto Oki | 10c | 147.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yuto Oki | 16c | 125.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8875…26e7backed Yuto Oki | 20c | 111.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Yuto Oki | 24c | 109.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 294 | 44.2%130 W · 164 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Yuto Oki | 30c | 106.16$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…064abacked Yuto Oki | 19c | 105.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Andre Ilagan | 80c | 104.05$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 2,440 | 51.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Andre Ilagan | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yuto Oki | 20c | 61.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 2,135 | 56%1,195 W · 940 L | +41.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e31…5e8ebacked Andre Ilagan | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Andre Ilagan | 76c | 16.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.