MLB · resolved market
Royals vs. Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91050613fa3ae2635c2334e17ba78961eb94db47175c4d94d402f5bf0bc416ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royalsof Royals, Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $912,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $997,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $912,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Twins | 49c | 521,891$257,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257,531.5 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Royals | 51c | 153,950$78,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,435.5 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Royals | 51c | 122,781$62,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,372.45 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Twins | 49c | 65,548$32,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,118.31 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Royals | 51c | 60,000$30,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,400 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Royals | 50c | 60,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,000 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…f94fbacked Twins | 22c | 45,914$10,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,286.41 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Royals | 51c | 45,000$22,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,200 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Royals | 50c | 36,884$18,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,442 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Twins | 49c | 35,555$17,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,421.95 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Royals | 51c | 34,928$17,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,114.62 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Royals | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Royals | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Royals | 53c | 19,008$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,007.89 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Royals | 77c | 16,524$12,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,812.48 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Twins | 49c | 14,283$6,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,928.57 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Royals | 78c | 12,953$10,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,853.39 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Royals | 50c | 12,300$6,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,150 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Royals | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.92 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Royals | 51c | 9,695$4,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,750.36 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Royals | 79c | 6,931$5,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.37 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Royals | 50c | 6,472$3,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,223.94 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Royals | 51c | 6,329$3,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,083.13 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Twins | 48c | 5,625$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Twins | 51c | 5,218$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650.49 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Twins | 24c | 5,080$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.6 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Royals | 50c | 5,000$2,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,476.67 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Royals | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Twins | 47c | 4,938$2,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320.78 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Royals | 50c | 4,180$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Twins | 5c | 4,008$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.4 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Royals | 50c | 4,000$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,015 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Royals | 51c | 3,750$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Royals | 52c | 3,206$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.9 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Royals | 68c | 3,111$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.28 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Royals | 72c | 2,811$2,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.5 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Royals | 51c | 2,500$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.93 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Royals | 54c | 2,482$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.68 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Royals | 72c | 2,326$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.17 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Royals | 66c | 2,283$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.19 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Royals | 52c | 2,235$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.62 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Royals | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Royals | 51c | 1,960$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.4 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…069abacked Twins | 49c | 1,800$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Royals | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Twins | 21c | 1,373$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.32 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Twins | 19c | 1,345$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Royals | 69c | 1,331$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.58 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Twins | 24c | 1,192$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.13 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Twins | 47c | 1,184$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.56 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Royals | 51c | 1,053$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed Royals | 51c | 1,029$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.98 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Twins | 49c | 1,019$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.23 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Twins | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Twins | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Royals | 53c | 910.38$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.9 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Royals | 74c | 882.49$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.75 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Royals | 76c | 787.27$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.94 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Royals | 57c | 661.61$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.04 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…a6dbbacked Twins | 46c | 628.09$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.92 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Royals | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Royals | 51c | 560$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.9 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Twins | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Royals | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8665…85ecbacked Royals | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Royals | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Twins | 48c | 350.12$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.06 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Twins | 38c | 319.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.12 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Twins | 47c | 319$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.93 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Royals | 49c | 309.22$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.7 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Twins | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Twins | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Royals | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Royals | 73c | 292.36$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.42 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Twins | 50c | 284.44$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.22 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed Twins | 48c | 260$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Royals | 51c | 250.69$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.53 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Royals | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Royals | 51c | 244$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.01 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Royals | 52c | 240$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Royals | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Royals | 54c | 233.94$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.54 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Royals | 53c | 207.32$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.32 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Twins | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Royals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…4493backed Twins | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…f9bebacked Twins | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Royals | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Royals | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…9d3bbacked Royals | 77c | 190.69$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.77 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Royals | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Twins | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Twins | 45c | 145$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd4…e888backed Royals | 66c | 136.82$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.82 | 36 | 77.8%28 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ef…dfd1backed Royals | 53c | 133.96$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.96 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…571fbacked Royals | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Twins | 49c | 127.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.43 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Twins | 50c | 127.26$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Twins | 49c | 124$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Royals | 49c | 121$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.