Fifa International · resolved market
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39dece656d11e03eae92a319708a93fa2e09f4114422b72bbdb1d141069dd0cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $230,660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $231,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 4c | 62,340$2,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.24 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3535…a775backed Over | 5c | 42,590$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.96 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 5c | 40,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.94 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 4c | 14,043$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 4c | 7,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 341 | 25.8%88 W · 253 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 4c | 4,855$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.18 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 4c | 4,148$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.9 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 4c | 4,124$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.94 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d4…b79fbacked Over | 0c | 4,072$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 1c | 3,065$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae7…68d2backed Over | 4c | 2,109$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.94 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…eac3backed Over | 5c | 2,010$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.39 | 159 | 20.1%32 W · 127 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Over | 5c | 2,002$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…5f4abacked Over | 5c | 1,960$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 81 | 21%17 W · 64 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Over | 3c | 1,495$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…f490backed Over | 5c | 1,020$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Over | 4c | 1,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 107 | 20.6%22 W · 85 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0b…d25bbacked Over | 2c | 999.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Over | 2c | 977.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 324 | 22.5%73 W · 251 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 4c | 625$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 4c | 575.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 489 | 37%181 W · 308 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0823…ec6abacked Over | 3c | 574.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 431 | 39%168 W · 263 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e3…411bbacked Over | 5c | 520$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 84 | 23.8%20 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Over | 5c | 517.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 494 | 26.7%132 W · 362 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…c5bbbacked Over | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…1a03backed Over | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 15.2%15 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Over | 3c | 500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 283 | 26.5%75 W · 208 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 4c | 498.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Over | 4c | 475.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 54 | 5.6%3 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…d2bdbacked Over | 4c | 421.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2555…8a08backed Over | 5c | 416.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Over | 5c | 408.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x856e…a0f9backed Over | 5c | 408.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 5c | 320$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 438 | 19.2%84 W · 354 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…a429backed Over | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 81 | 19.8%16 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…9d34backed Over | 5c | 298.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 788 | 35.3%278 W · 510 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a17…048ebacked Over | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +160.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…0088backed Over | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 138 | 26.8%37 W · 101 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaba0…64a9backed Over | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8409…753dbacked Over | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2769…89a3backed Over | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce1…8dc0backed Over | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb1…daf7backed Over | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 188 | 21.8%41 W · 147 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69d…7678backed Over | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 5.5this page
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 0.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Mexico 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Mexico 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Mexico 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Mexico O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Mexico O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Mexico O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 3.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 4.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 6.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 7.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Korea Republic (-3.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Mexico (-1.5)Korea Republic won
- Spread: Mexico (-2.5)Korea Republic won
- Spread: Mexico (-3.5)Korea Republic won
- Spread: Mexico (-4.5)Korea Republic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.