TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Mexico (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Korea Republicof Mexico, Korea Republic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$171,731
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$171,253

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,731 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Mexico5c53,090$2,916 inLost-$2,915.872,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Mexico9c23,554$2,105 inLost-$2,105.4411642.2%49 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Mexico8c9,796$791 inLost-$790.552,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Mexico4c7,452$296 inLost-$296.241,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Mexico8c6,028$482 inLost-$482.242,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Mexico8c4,089$325 inLost-$324.982,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Mexico2c3,999$80 inLost-$79.9826216%42 W · 220 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Mexico8c3,127$250 inLost-$250.153,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Mexico5c3,000$159 inLost-$15924635.8%88 W · 158 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Mexico8c2,950$240 inLost-$240.361,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3191…0665backed Mexico8c2,500$200 inLost-$2003135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Mexico3c1,999$60 inLost-$59.9739932.6%130 W · 269 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Mexico5c1,503$77 inLost-$76.852,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Mexico5c1,391$74 inLost-$74.2115932.7%52 W · 107 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Mexico8c1,250$100 inLost-$10034125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Mexico10c1,149$114 inLost-$114.0684738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Mexico8c1,079$84 inLost-$84.293,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mexico7c892.83$60 inLost-$59.942,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Mexico9c805.56$70 inLost-$7060821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdf6…841dbacked Mexico8c753.39$58 inLost-$58.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Mexico8c746.55$58 inLost-$57.851,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bd6…d707backed Mexico6c587.17$35 inLost-$35.23714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7db…ee3ebacked Mexico9c577.07$52 inLost-$51.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Mexico8c542.16$43 inLost-$43.371,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Mexico5c468.28$23 inLost-$23.44,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Mexico8c444$36 inLost-$35.5245038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Mexico8c400.56$32 inLost-$31.781,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Mexico8c370.05$30 inLost-$30.033,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Mexico5c308$14 inLost-$14.4916833.9%57 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f77…2b2fbacked Mexico9c288.89$26 inLost-$264938.8%19 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e89…3e0abacked Mexico8c250$20 inLost-$2026716.1%43 W · 224 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Mexico7c249.97$17 inLost-$17.56516.9%11 W · 54 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Mexico7c220$15 inLost-$15.428326.5%75 W · 208 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2555…8a08backed Mexico8c207.75$17 inLost-$16.6280%0 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Mexico8c199.99$15 inLost-$15.3592038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd827…fe79backed Mexico8c175$14 inLost-$141414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-64.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e5…7127backed Mexico8c125$10 inLost-$1010135.6%36 W · 65 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe47…3198backed Mexico8c125$10 inLost-$1010818.5%20 W · 88 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb8…c8dabacked Mexico9c118.05$11 inLost-$10.624949%24 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+7.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.