TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,339
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,936

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,339 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7300…e52cbacked Under15c1,016$152 inLost-$152.4177845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under21c999.99$210 inLost-$2101,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6727…231dbacked Under23c743.02$171 inLost-$170.895259.6%31 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under21c625$131 inLost-$130.952,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under23c624.99$146 inLost-$145.893,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under21c608.59$128 inLost-$127.672,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6caa…4fb3backed Over77c551.83$425 inWon+$126.922653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab56…e635backed Over77c545.45$419 inWon+$126.6916052.5%84 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c2…96cabacked Over77c540.99$417 inWon+$124.432161.9%13 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc37a…4c69backed Over77c519.48$400 inWon+$119.481070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+84.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0e3…99a1backed Over79c507.05$400 inWon+$107.054233.3%14 W · 28 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-38.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f41…e6aebacked Under23c471.41$108 inLost-$108.428853.4%47 W · 41 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+31.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over77c436.93$336 inWon+$100.532,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under23c409.03$94 inLost-$947761%47 W · 30 L+8.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+30.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3803…7eafbacked Under23c330$76 inLost-$75.920850.5%105 W · 103 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+95.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Under25c309.4$77 inLost-$77.3321143.1%91 W · 120 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Over75c296.21$222 inWon+$74.056762.7%42 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37be…d876backed Over75c290.95$218 inWon+$72.7412048.3%58 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under18c234.4$43 inLost-$43.361,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under23c192.61$44 inLost-$44.385851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e3…b82ebacked Over79c175.95$139 inWon+$36.951172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under29c157.39$46 inLost-$45.6453448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x336a…1915backed Under25c136$34 inLost-$348748.3%42 W · 45 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under20c127$26 inLost-$25.62,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a1…de0fbacked Over79c126.58$100 inWon+$26.58875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Under24c124.54$30 inLost-$29.926155.2%144 W · 117 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x042d…0720backed Over76c100$76 inWon+$2415246.1%70 W · 82 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under23c89$20 inLost-$20.471,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under30c82$24 inLost-$24.341,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f79…69cabacked Under25c40$10 inLost-$102045%9 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over76c34$26 inWon+$8.162,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over77c25.21$19 inWon+$5.88,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe204…8adcbacked Over79c21.56$17 inWon+$4.53580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+123.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Over70c15.29$11 inWon+$4.5617760.5%107 W · 70 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacef…5850backed Over76c14$11 inWon+$3.36450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb75…2e6ebacked Over76c14$11 inWon+$3.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7bc…3c87backed Over76c14$11 inWon+$3.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+222.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe78e…eb64backed Over76c14$11 inWon+$3.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97a7…0cbabacked Over76c14$11 inWon+$3.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.