Fifa International · resolved market
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 2nd Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x442f7f93f2dcca25512855abbc7ca4aefd41691d36815fa8465e2646e6b57c15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 40c | 2,517$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.55 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Under | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 64c | 1,500$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.2 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Under | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 36c | 1,195$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.9 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +10.8wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Under | 61c | 1,092$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.58 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 60c | 1,010$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.48 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Over | 38c | 672.39$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.51 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 42c | 492$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.86 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 43c | 444.18$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 110 | 42.7%47 W · 63 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 14c | 413.3$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.24 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Under | 61c | 384.59$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.59 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 42c | 377.98$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.53 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 57c | 355.88$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.25 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 60c | 354.72$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.89 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 41c | 304.96$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.56 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…601dbacked Under | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +11.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 9c | 287.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0f…e5f4backed Over | 39c | 261.54$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 60c | 247.63$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.21 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 46c | 226.13$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.48 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under | 56c | 221.41$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.97 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 57c | 218.79$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 35c | 216.36$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.58 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 37c | 212.01$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.44 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 58c | 198.47$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.76 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 64c | 195.46$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.36 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 58c | 183.76$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.88 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 58c | 157.9$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.32 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 40c | 140.88$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0720backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 42c | 80.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 164 | 27.4%45 W · 119 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Under | 63c | 62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d61…77e3backed Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…79c3backed Under | 58c | 51.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3803…7eafbacked Under | 25c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 208 | 50.5%105 W · 103 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 60c | 48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 35c | 46.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b3…e902backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 128 | 50.8%65 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 60c | 44.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 43c | 42.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…6822backed Under | 59c | 41.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aca…72c6backed Over | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 43c | 34.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…1cabbacked Under | 59c | 28.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Under | 60c | 27.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 60c | 27.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 58c | 22.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 198 | 62.1%123 W · 75 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Under | 60c | 18.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 2nd Half O/U 1.5this page
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 0.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Mexico 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Mexico 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Mexico 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Mexico O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Mexico O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Mexico O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 3.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 4.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 5.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 6.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 7.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Korea Republic (-3.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Mexico (-1.5)Korea Republic won
- Spread: Mexico (-2.5)Korea Republic won
- Spread: Mexico (-3.5)Korea Republic won
- Spread: Mexico (-4.5)Korea Republic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.