Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 4.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb80b86347f46673ffdc958ed9b43256d4fac4cd451ee930d8b972dd52d37feeb

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $196,687
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $214,928

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,687 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe881…19abbacked Over	0c	35,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	121	14%17 W · 104 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over	11c	25,609$2,775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,774.82	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over	10c	20,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	592	30.1%178 W · 414 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over	1c	5,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	354	24%85 W · 269 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x963f…b421backed Over	6c	4,520$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263	32	12.5%4 W · 28 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	10c	4,460$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432.72	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Over	1c	4,100$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	262	16%42 W · 220 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+35%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf4d…77c6backed Over	11c	4,000$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440.01	76	47.4%36 W · 40 L	+13.4wins	+0.18per pick	30cpaid	+80.2%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over	10c	3,750$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.99	341	25.8%88 W · 253 L	-10.4wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Over	7c	3,624$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.18	1,063	31.7%337 W · 726 L	-33.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over	3c	3,412$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.48	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	11c	3,370$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.7	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Over	9c	3,214$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.23	361	23.5%85 W · 276 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	11c	2,287$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.24	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd85…1388backed Over	11c	2,273$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ae7…68d2backed Over	10c	2,100$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	44	36.4%16 W · 28 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Over	9c	1,278$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.03	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0a2…b58ebacked Over	11c	1,029$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.16	70	22.9%16 W · 54 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Over	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	74	24.3%18 W · 56 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89d2…7a0cbacked Over	11c	909.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	57	22.8%13 W · 44 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	18cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over	10c	888$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.8	159	20.1%32 W · 127 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	8c	869.22$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.86	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd2…93ddbacked Over	11c	825.42$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.8	98	39.8%39 W · 59 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc6b…8115backed Over	10c	710$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	229	14%32 W · 197 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Over	9c	704$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.29	1,045	29.3%306 W · 739 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over	2c	679.03$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.4	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d29…e83ebacked Over	10c	660$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over	6c	599.02$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.98	159	32.7%52 W · 107 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…f490backed Over	11c	545.45$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4372…6a96backed Over	5c	499.99$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	269	21.6%58 W · 211 L	-10.6wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	9c	481.92$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.37	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over	11c	454.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	282	24.1%68 W · 214 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over	11c	454.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	329	22.5%74 W · 255 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74ba…9ac0backed Over	10c	450$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	48	50%24 W · 24 L	-2.8wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Over	11c	400$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	125	34.4%43 W · 82 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over	11c	318.18$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	438	19.2%84 W · 354 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc56…cbe8backed Over	11c	310$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.1	124	35.5%44 W · 80 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over	10c	310$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.6	438	26.3%115 W · 323 L	+12.6wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	10c	268$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.8	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over	10c	250$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	451	20.6%93 W · 358 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa318…77cfbacked Over	10c	250$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	110	9.1%10 W · 100 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e3…411bbacked Over	11c	209.09$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	84	23.8%20 W · 64 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Over	11c	209.09$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	494	26.7%132 W · 362 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f5…c5bbbacked Over	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+2.6wins	+0.10per pick	42cpaid	+35.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fd7…b157backed Over	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	120	30.8%37 W · 83 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0872…8cbfbacked Over	11c	196.73$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.64	29	31%9 W · 20 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cfc…661ebacked Over	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	127	11.8%15 W · 112 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-21%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2769…89a3backed Over	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf05…82edbacked Over	11c	177.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.51	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over	11c	154.55$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	335	44.5%149 W · 186 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c1f…08a6backed Over	10c	150$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	252	21.4%54 W · 198 L	-15.6wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x02f0…1a03backed Over	10c	150$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	+7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Over	7c	150$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	283	26.5%75 W · 208 L	-12.1wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x764f…64a1backed Over	8c	126$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	177	32.2%57 W · 120 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over	10c	120$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	823	48.8%402 W · 421 L	+10.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea3f…1422backed Over	11c	118.18$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	94	28.7%27 W · 67 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf05c…dbdcbacked Over	10c	118$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.8	121	38.8%47 W · 74 L	-8.4wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d8c…bec4backed Over	10c	100.4$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.04	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd9…86f3backed Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	44	27.3%12 W · 32 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc547…abbabacked Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d85…3a04backed Over	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	-4.0wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f07…3f68backed Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe692…05e8backed Over	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	82	25.6%21 W · 61 L	+3.7wins	+0.05per pick	21cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8409…753dbacked Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	120	20%24 W · 96 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8c52…cdf1backed Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	83	27.7%23 W · 60 L	-6.9wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over	11c	95.91$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.55	71	22.5%16 W · 55 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 4.5this page
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 0.5Under won
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 2.5Under won
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Mexico 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Mexico 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Mexico 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Mexico O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Mexico O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Mexico O/U 2.5Under won
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5Under won
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 3.5Under won
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 5.5Under won
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 6.5Under won
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 7.5Under won
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5)Mexico won
Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5)Mexico won
Spread: Korea Republic (-3.5)Mexico won
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)Korea Republic won
Spread: Mexico (-2.5)Korea Republic won
Spread: Mexico (-3.5)Korea Republic won
Spread: Mexico (-4.5)Korea Republic won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 4.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event