TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Mexico 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,453
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,474

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,453 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Under52c1,145$590 inWon+$554.564,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Over49c1,028$500 inLost-$50023427.8%65 W · 169 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c750$406 inWon+$343.64,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Under52c599.97$312 inWon+$287.9919545.6%89 W · 106 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under51c519.62$265 inWon+$254.542,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd31…6103backed Over49c510.2$250 inLost-$2501827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over48c500$240 inLost-$24095739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x459a…bf86backed Over49c474.82$232 inLost-$231.649237%34 W · 58 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under52c469.19$244 inWon+$225.2176551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Over47c445$209 inLost-$209.1545038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under50c289.4$145 inWon+$144.71,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Under52c249.05$130 inWon+$119.5441231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Over49c179.59$88 inLost-$8862452.7%329 W · 295 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Over48c164.97$80 inLost-$8012648.4%61 W · 65 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…6e4ebacked Under52c160$83 inWon+$76.87475.7%56 W · 18 L+10.8wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+20.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under53c156$82 inWon+$73.793,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9516…0bcbbacked Over48c104.17$50 inLost-$5056240.6%228 W · 334 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x789f…3e7dbacked Under52c74.04$38 inWon+$35.5414745.6%67 W · 80 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under51c50$26 inWon+$24.51,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bb3…843bbacked Over48c41.67$20 inLost-$20911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick33cpaid-76.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x04b4…591abacked Over49c40.82$20 inLost-$2010742.1%45 W · 62 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb563…888bbacked Over49c40.82$20 inLost-$204146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under52c39.04$20 inWon+$18.571,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under52c39.04$20 inWon+$18.571,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over48c36.6$17 inLost-$17.468,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a4f…639dbacked Under53c31.83$17 inWon+$14.961060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe18c…e6ccbacked Over49c30.61$15 inLost-$155750.9%29 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ac7…4b3ebacked Over42c25$11 inLost-$10.513147.3%62 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Under51c22.17$11 inWon+$10.8636558.4%213 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.