Fifa International · resolved market
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0211a5e7d1b158d48c0b2eec7538682c366e4f10803aa0ed9f01a202b419d7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 26c | 4,700$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.98 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Under | 72c | 4,457$3,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.9 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 15c | 3,852$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.28 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 26c | 3,184$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.77 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…a873backed Over | 16c | 3,168$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 70c | 2,561$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.32 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 71c | 2,406$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.81 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 15c | 2,319$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.85 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Over | 30c | 2,187$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 73c | 1,949$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.18 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 71c | 1,822$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.27 | 142 | 32.4%46 W · 96 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Over | 29c | 1,799$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.59 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Over | 29c | 1,203$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 17c | 1,100$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 71c | 1,059$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.68 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 24c | 1,008$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.91 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 285 | 26.3%75 W · 210 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Over | 16c | 999.91$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 354 | 24%85 W · 269 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Under | 72c | 972.6$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.33 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 72c | 901.79$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.5 | 258 | 57.4%148 W · 110 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Over | 28c | 900$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf87c…8c97backed Over | 30c | 833.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 161 | 23.6%38 W · 123 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 26c | 799$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.23 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 20c | 745.28$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.96 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 75c | 738.72$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.69 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 26c | 735.65$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.79 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…c850backed Over | 27c | 735.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79bf…6f87backed Over | 28c | 700$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…cf69backed Over | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 277 | 42.2%117 W · 160 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Under | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Over | 29c | 672.41$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 224 | 36.6%82 W · 142 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 17c | 660$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.18 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…4a74backed Over | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 173 | 22.5%39 W · 134 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Over | 30c | 619.63$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.89 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 71c | 613.77$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.48 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 71c | 494.69$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.46 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 70c | 459.14$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.56 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 389.62$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.48 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 72c | 359.71$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.49 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 72c | 342.01$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.45 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Under | 72c | 334.27$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.1 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Over | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 229 | 19.2%44 W · 185 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0422…ae21backed Under | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…540fbacked Over | 28c | 250.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.94 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 72c | 198.54$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 29c | 186$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…b30abacked Over | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Over | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 18c | 161.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 71c | 149.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ad…2161backed Over | 24c | 144.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 145 | 26.2%38 W · 107 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 71c | 142.34$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Over | 14c | 136.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 349 | 24.4%85 W · 264 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 28c | 130.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde70…615fbacked Over | 30c | 130$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 29c | 122.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe7…a37dbacked Over | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Over | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 245 | 41.2%101 W · 144 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…fc63backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 76c | 93.05$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc169…cb6abacked Over | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0425…5d14backed Over | 27c | 81.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…6822backed Over | 29c | 68.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…ff89backed Over | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…61f9backed Over | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…2048backed Over | 29c | 51.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 72c | 50.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Over | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 135 | 30.4%41 W · 94 L | -16.4wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 28c | 44.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Under | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 326 | 42.9%140 W · 186 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…fcc5backed Under | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Under | 70c | 16.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 365 | 58.4%213 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 72c | 15.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Under | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 0.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Mexico 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Mexico 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Mexico 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Mexico O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Mexico O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Mexico O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 3.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 4.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 5.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 6.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 7.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Korea Republic (-3.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Mexico (-1.5)Korea Republic won
- Spread: Mexico (-2.5)Korea Republic won
- Spread: Mexico (-3.5)Korea Republic won
- Spread: Mexico (-4.5)Korea Republic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.