TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Mexico O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,414
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,928

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,414 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x033f…618ebacked Over11c8,316$875 inLost-$874.9865737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over13c3,700$497 inLost-$497.162,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Over18c2,056$370 inLost-$3707038.6%27 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over17c1,960$333 inLost-$333.22,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over13c1,679$223 inLost-$222.594,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b89…a4cdbacked Over18c1,389$250 inLost-$2505635.7%20 W · 36 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f4b…0b44backed Over18c1,349$243 inLost-$242.9417432.2%56 W · 118 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19b6…b7cdbacked Over18c1,233$222 inLost-$2224643.5%20 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over9c1,039$96 inLost-$95.872,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over13c659.17$84 inLost-$83.961,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over10c594.37$59 inLost-$59.452,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebd1…8f9fbacked Over19c587.53$112 inLost-$111.632630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-34.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over18c458.5$83 inLost-$82.533,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over3c451$15 inLost-$14.732,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over18c419.76$75 inLost-$75.398,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23e6…7bbfbacked Over16c300$48 inLost-$4817727.1%48 W · 129 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc482…f0bebacked Over17c261.82$45 inLost-$44.517729.9%23 W · 54 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over15c253.29$38 inLost-$37.992,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099e…b3c1backed Over5c200$10 inLost-$1010339.8%41 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over21c200$43 inLost-$42.511,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6189…d6ebbacked Over17c199.99$34 inLost-$3415144.4%67 W · 84 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf520…201cbacked Over13c192.31$25 inLost-$253145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over18c191.04$34 inLost-$34.158029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x119d…bec3backed Over19c173.68$33 inLost-$3320432.8%67 W · 137 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5c8…5e53backed Over17c166.65$28 inLost-$28.335743.9%25 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9562…99d2backed Over17c117.65$20 inLost-$202524%6 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7567…63e7backed Over17c117.65$20 inLost-$203447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over11c106.1$12 inLost-$12.12,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x971c…74d5backed Over13c100$13 inLost-$131241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ca4…8bfcbacked Over17c99.99$17 inLost-$173423.5%8 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-45.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91b1…da28backed Over17c91.18$15 inLost-$15.5825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67a7…d779backed Over17c88.24$15 inLost-$152729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over16c76.43$12 inLost-$12.2395739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31c4…622fbacked Over18c67.44$12 inLost-$12.147346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over18c65.78$12 inLost-$11.8470948.9%347 W · 362 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.