TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Mexicoof Korea Republic, Mexico
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,270
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,175

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,270 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc974…b33bbacked Korea Republic2c8,330$133 inLost-$133.2821333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Korea Republic2c7,744$155 inLost-$154.892,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Korea Republic2c6,798$132 inLost-$131.7211642.2%49 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Korea Republic0c6,319$16 inLost-$16.273,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Korea Republic2c6,032$120 inLost-$12024917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Korea Republic2c3,379$63 inLost-$62.792,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Korea Republic2c3,132$55 inLost-$54.8451315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Korea Republic2c2,000$34 inLost-$3454917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Korea Republic2c1,790$31 inLost-$30.688,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e89…3e0abacked Korea Republic2c1,653$30 inLost-$3026716.1%43 W · 224 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93b4…909dbacked Korea Republic2c1,258$22 inLost-$22.42130%0 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Korea Republic1c1,053$15 inLost-$15.452,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Korea Republic1c1,031$14 inLost-$14.072,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe059…daaebacked Korea Republic2c1,011$20 inLost-$2011720.5%24 W · 93 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick17cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Korea Republic2c1,000$18 inLost-$1828326.5%75 W · 208 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Korea Republic2c846.85$13 inLost-$13.283,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad54…c07abacked Korea Republic2c816.5$16 inLost-$16.33540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Korea Republic2c666.95$13 inLost-$12.6773234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ec2…a53cbacked Korea Republic2c641.54$13 inLost-$139747.4%46 W · 51 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Korea Republic2c603.27$11 inLost-$10.7892038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb8…c8dabacked Korea Republic2c544.1$11 inLost-$10.544949%24 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+7.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.