CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1992161e989a342512e6358b559fcdd7183eec49ee92a42dc44b990164edd761
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Over | 46c | 3,125$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.57 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 54c | 1,355$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.6 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.99 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced1…280ebacked Over | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 54c | 926.01$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 39c | 912.69$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.74 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 53c | 867.54$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.75 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 47c | 459.22$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.83 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Over | 45c | 379.64$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.84 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…b0b4backed Over | 60c | 249.05$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 53c | 239.41$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.52 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 47c | 199.65$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.74 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b5…c111backed Over | 47c | 191.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3a…a05cbacked Under | 40c | 162.5$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Over | 47c | 157.65$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.52 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 54c | 140$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 50c | 140$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Over | 61c | 105.71$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeded…c546backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 52c | 98.35$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…d4f1backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 55c | 88.09$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.64 | 324 | 58%188 W · 136 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 16c | 87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 54c | 82.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd207…c366backed Under | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Under | 49c | 73.65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.56 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 47c | 71.14$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 37c | 64.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 224 | 60.7%136 W · 88 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Under | 36c | 54.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf99c…3f0abacked Over | 46c | 52.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 61cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bf…3e90backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 45c | 43.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…4b8abacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Over | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…9622backed Under | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Under | 54c | 33.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…a34abacked Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 264 | 43.2%114 W · 150 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0911…b92dbacked Over | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4d…3738backed Over | 48c | 25.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Under | 54c | 24.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Under | 54c | 22.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierLiquid won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 - Map 1 WinnerLiquid won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 - Map 2 WinnerLiquid won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Liquid (+3.5)Liquid won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Liquid (+3.5)Liquid won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.