CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32c883e2d492247c6b6c67a7f59d9591445eddfecd14b4d1e5a3481814fdf37d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liquidof G2, Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked G2 | 39c | 29,507$11,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,511.17 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Liquid | 60c | 12,830$7,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,104.26 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed G2 | 40c | 11,301$4,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,482.55 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Liquid | 64c | 6,184$3,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,256.76 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Liquid | 61c | 4,754$2,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.83 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Liquid | 65c | 3,999$2,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.06 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…de25backed Liquid | 60c | 3,800$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Liquid | 59c | 2,658$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.89 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2c…5280backed Liquid | 61c | 2,251$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Liquid | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.99 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Liquid | 60c | 1,825$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.02 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed G2 | 37c | 1,622$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed G2 | 37c | 1,389$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.88 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Liquid | 63c | 1,378$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.33 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Liquid | 59c | 1,305$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.95 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed G2 | 32c | 1,149$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.87 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Liquid | 63c | 1,100$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked G2 | 38c | 1,089$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.99 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed G2 | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Liquid | 62c | 930$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.4 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…ed54backed Liquid | 61c | 660.66$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.66 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked G2 | 39c | 650$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.4 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa033…4938backed Liquid | 59c | 614$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.74 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Liquid | 60c | 545$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218 | 242 | 33.9%82 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Liquid | 67c | 540.82$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.93 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Liquid | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked Liquid | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Liquid | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Liquid | 71c | 482$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.78 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0e…b995backed Liquid | 59c | 406.78$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.78 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Liquid | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 265 | 49.1%130 W · 135 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Liquid | 60c | 299.99$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.81 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Liquid | 59c | 298.39$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.34 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed G2 | 28c | 296.43$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 160 | 38.1%61 W · 99 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed G2 | 39c | 275.24$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.43 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked G2 | 35c | 235.43$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Liquid | 64c | 220$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x442f…e80fbacked G2 | 39c | 216.8$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.3 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…8bc9backed Liquid | 64c | 214$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.04 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Liquid | 60c | 201.65$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.66 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked G2 | 38c | 194$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…9622backed G2 | 38c | 194$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…db66backed G2 | 36c | 183.25$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.97 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a56…be30backed Liquid | 60c | 181.62$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.43 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Liquid | 63c | 175.62$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.98 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Liquid | 67c | 169.96$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.09 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Liquid | 59c | 164.41$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.41 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Liquid | 61c | 147.54$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8818…f8acbacked Liquid | 61c | 112.76$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.69 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed G2 | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…3007backed Liquid | 65c | 106.62$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bf…3e90backed Liquid | 59c | 105.08$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…d102backed Liquid | 59c | 104$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Liquid | 59c | 89.85$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked Liquid | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 284 | 54.9%156 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Liquid | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed G2 | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked G2 | 35c | 76.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed G2 | 40c | 75.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…59d1backed G2 | 35c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Liquid | 63c | 63.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f24…3a09backed Liquid | 67c | 59.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked G2 | 37c | 55.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed G2 | 40c | 52.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed G2 | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed Liquid | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3063…9108backed Liquid | 67c | 40.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1691…347abacked Liquid | 61c | 38.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -50%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…fa96backed G2 | 40c | 29.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10dd…e355backed Liquid | 59c | 27.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Liquid | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 256 | 50.4%129 W · 127 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca2…3ff2backed Liquid | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497e…a18abacked Liquid | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Liquid | 77c | 16.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 280 | 37.9%106 W · 174 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…8d97backed Liquid | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 326 | 62%202 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…0aa4backed Liquid | 68c | 15.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Liquid | 71c | 14.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierLiquid won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 - Map 1 WinnerLiquid won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 - Map 2 WinnerLiquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Liquid (+3.5)Liquid won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Liquid (+3.5)Liquid won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.