CS2 · resolved market
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Liquid (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb92dad7dcaa33bb6cab704c540b989145456dadcfc7dd3101b795995565926ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liquidof G2, Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked G2 | 40c | 12,478$4,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,991.37 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Liquid | 58c | 5,104$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.59 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Liquid | 64c | 2,250$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.5 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Liquid | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6da3…95a0backed Liquid | 60c | 1,612$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.73 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed Liquid | 57c | 1,085$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.34 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Liquid | 58c | 861.97$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.03 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Liquid | 60c | 838.98$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.48 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed G2 | 40c | 808.43$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.74 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Liquid | 63c | 554.98$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.34 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked G2 | 42c | 440$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.8 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Liquid | 58c | 344.71$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.34 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Liquid | 59c | 255.01$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed G2 | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…9622backed G2 | 41c | 240$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.57 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Liquid | 59c | 228$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.31 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdccf…faeabacked Liquid | 58c | 181.91$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.4 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed G2 | 41c | 174.27$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.45 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Liquid | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Liquid | 60c | 166.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Liquid | 59c | 120$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed G2 | 41c | 107.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Liquid | 55c | 83.33$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed G2 | 42c | 78.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed G2 | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed G2 | 42c | 49.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x442f…e80fbacked G2 | 39c | 42.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed Liquid | 60c | 21.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Liquid (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierLiquid won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 - Map 1 WinnerLiquid won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 - Map 2 WinnerLiquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Liquid (+3.5)Liquid won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.