CS2 · resolved market
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Liquid (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x616c70ee5142ead195299d09f5c3684cae733d2d9f72944d8d4002dab94ae7d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liquidof G2, Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked G2 | 44c | 6,749$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.82 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed G2 | 46c | 5,414$2,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,472.87 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Liquid | 56c | 3,000$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed Liquid | 54c | 2,345$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.92 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Liquid | 55c | 2,268$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.54 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Liquid | 55c | 2,034$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.08 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Liquid | 55c | 1,496$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.79 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdccf…faeabacked Liquid | 53c | 1,360$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.5 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed G2 | 46c | 1,111$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.11 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Liquid | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed G2 | 45c | 885.69$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.36 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed G2 | 46c | 577.02$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.05 | 159 | 48.4%77 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Liquid | 58c | 554.99$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.09 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked G2 | 48c | 296$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.39 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Liquid | 54c | 244.4$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.42 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Liquid | 53c | 188.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.67 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Liquid | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…9622backed G2 | 45c | 118$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.18 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked G2 | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Liquid | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed G2 | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Liquid | 52c | 79.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Liquid | 50c | 61.72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Liquid | 54c | 58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Liquid | 53c | 46.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed G2 | 48c | 42.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed G2 | 46c | 37.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x442f…e80fbacked G2 | 44c | 37.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Liquid (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierLiquid won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 - Map 1 WinnerLiquid won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 - Map 2 WinnerLiquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Liquid (+3.5)Liquid won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.