Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87e26c0ca68133637e324a67abaafaab0e169260ac65740514ca3983298831c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,446
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,446 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 41c | 4,208$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.92 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Under | 57c | 3,058$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.5 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 59c | 1,437$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.79 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 52c | 999.97$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.98 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 52c | 599.99$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 42c | 466.1$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.13 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7a…aaaebacked Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 261 | 51.7%135 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…9372backed Over | 48c | 346.97$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.83 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca3…f975backed Over | 46c | 320.9$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.89 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Over | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Under | 54c | 247.33$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.56 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 48c | 237.73$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.62 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 51c | 201.57$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.8 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 48c | 190.08$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.84 | 286 | 52.8%151 W · 135 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ef…184dbacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked Over | 47c | 166.68$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.34 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 41c | 140.05$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.18 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…f793backed Under | 35c | 138$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Over | 47c | 128.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.92 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Over | 49c | 101.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.79 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x429c…a974backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 167 | 54.5%91 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01f1…0bb3backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd395…3731backed Over | 51c | 56.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 46c | 53.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Over | 41c | 52.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…46dcbacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 427 | 51.5%220 W · 207 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Over | 46c | 46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 41c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b51…15d2backed Over | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7421…ae44backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 26.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 48c | 25.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7843…7f7dbacked Over | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Under | 54c | 21.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)Kiwoom DRX won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2BNK FEARX won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 WinnerKiwoom DRX won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.