Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7144cb9f043431a8409a4071c140e5e6a99780375ee487854527e7ec3bb10696
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kiwoom DRXof BNK FEARX, Kiwoom DRX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Kiwoom DRX | 68c | 9,857$6,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,190.58 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed BNK FEARX | 35c | 7,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 360 | 34.4%124 W · 236 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Kiwoom DRX | 66c | 5,499$3,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.83 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed BNK FEARX | 33c | 4,962$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.42 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…12c3backed Kiwoom DRX | 65c | 4,700$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed BNK FEARX | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked BNK FEARX | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.98 | 445 | 50.1%223 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…fe5dbacked BNK FEARX | 40c | 2,495$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 353 | 53.5%189 W · 164 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Kiwoom DRX | 67c | 2,251$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.85 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a6…ab62backed BNK FEARX | 33c | 2,206$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734 | 138 | 31.2%43 W · 95 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x254b…e8abbacked BNK FEARX | 33c | 1,539$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.74 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Kiwoom DRX | 65c | 1,509$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed BNK FEARX | 33c | 1,269$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.65 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kiwoom DRX | 60c | 1,219$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.01 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed BNK FEARX | 32c | 1,200$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…f908backed Kiwoom DRX | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12c…ed3dbacked Kiwoom DRX | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Kiwoom DRX | 67c | 799.99$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…a518backed Kiwoom DRX | 66c | 606.18$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.1 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -66%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Kiwoom DRX | 58c | 602.95$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.2 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…38bbbacked BNK FEARX | 33c | 597.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 760 | 47%357 W · 403 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Kiwoom DRX | 60c | 580$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed BNK FEARX | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c65…4f24backed BNK FEARX | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Kiwoom DRX | 47c | 472.55$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.55 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…64c3backed BNK FEARX | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Kiwoom DRX | 59c | 427.11$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.11 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dab…4211backed BNK FEARX | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…804bbacked BNK FEARX | 34c | 382.35$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac9…7050backed BNK FEARX | 56c | 324.3$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.61 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd525…1815backed BNK FEARX | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 136 | 32.4%44 W · 92 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Kiwoom DRX | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 488 | 44.3%216 W · 272 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed BNK FEARX | 33c | 240$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd1…9249backed BNK FEARX | 32c | 230$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed BNK FEARX | 32c | 229.44$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.02 | 428 | 47.9%205 W · 223 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked BNK FEARX | 32c | 228.19$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.92 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Kiwoom DRX | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Kiwoom DRX | 67c | 184.61$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.92 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed BNK FEARX | 32c | 181.25$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Kiwoom DRX | 68c | 179.41$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.41 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f2…e0c9backed Kiwoom DRX | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 181 | 61.3%111 W · 70 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed BNK FEARX | 31c | 149.03$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Kiwoom DRX | 68c | 147.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…bb8abacked BNK FEARX | 24c | 119.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 218 | 59.2%129 W · 89 L | +26.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +18%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Kiwoom DRX | 61c | 113.74$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed BNK FEARX | 33c | 112.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed BNK FEARX | 53c | 109.37$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.97 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed BNK FEARX | 57c | 105.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.21 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Kiwoom DRX | 65c | 103$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78db…a291backed Kiwoom DRX | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…4bb5backed Kiwoom DRX | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed BNK FEARX | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 433 | 48.7%211 W · 222 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c04…7dcabacked Kiwoom DRX | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed BNK FEARX | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775b…d38abacked BNK FEARX | 32c | 90$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4c…d171backed BNK FEARX | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Kiwoom DRX | 68c | 80.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Kiwoom DRX | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed BNK FEARX | 33c | 73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc824…cc57backed BNK FEARX | 36c | 70.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Kiwoom DRX | 74c | 67.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 501 | 58.3%292 W · 209 L | -17.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed BNK FEARX | 53c | 59.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2392…ed75backed Kiwoom DRX | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d2…386fbacked BNK FEARX | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce68…f6b8backed BNK FEARX | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed BNK FEARX | 33c | 49.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed BNK FEARX | 28c | 44.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0a…8b2fbacked BNK FEARX | 60c | 42.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 96 | 68.8%66 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79f2…c423backed BNK FEARX | 33c | 42.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 32cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…b42dbacked Kiwoom DRX | 71c | 37.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Kiwoom DRX | 68c | 32.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Kiwoom DRX | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6392…52ddbacked Kiwoom DRX | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 420 | 49.3%207 W · 213 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7e…e0b3backed Kiwoom DRX | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Kiwoom DRX | 64c | 25.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc453…31f5backed Kiwoom DRX | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…6b86backed Kiwoom DRX | 66c | 15.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2BNK FEARX won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 WinnerKiwoom DRX won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.