TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Ilves Tampere win on 2026-07-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,246
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,837

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,246 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0a39…b0b9backed Yes58c70,682$40,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,686.621735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No42c28,948$12,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,157.952,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No42c23,413$9,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,833.2521840.4%88 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No42c6,000$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,52021237.3%79 W · 133 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes73c5,746$4,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536.393,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed No43c3,705$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,609.981723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes79c3,672$2,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.992,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No38c3,415$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.022,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.9919250.5%97 W · 95 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked No42c2,857$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2009340.9%38 W · 55 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed No42c2,857$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20011141.4%46 W · 65 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No42c2,706$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.337565.3%49 W · 26 L+11.0wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+33.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Yes53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.726073.3%44 W · 16 L+9.6wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+41.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No37c1,683$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.0731430.3%95 W · 219 L-15.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No42c1,457$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.9555545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes56c1,418$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.1797346%448 W · 525 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No25c1,253$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.991,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No45c952$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.471,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes55c942.8$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.8455845%251 W · 307 L+2.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Yes57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.194755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed Yes53c702$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.945066%33 W · 17 L+7.3wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+33.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2ebc…89c8backed Yes56c638$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.721747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.324833.3%16 W · 32 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked No23c498.7$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.736356.5%205 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Yes60c408.78$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.7629959.5%178 W · 121 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed No55c398.7$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.55425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-67.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfff7…7c28backed Yes58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.832100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes63c305.94$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.4720740.1%83 W · 124 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes73c285.39$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1385260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes74c267.36$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0558061.9%359 W · 221 L+22.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No43c247.6$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.351,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes55c236$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.27545.3%34 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed No42c231.38$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.187245.8%33 W · 39 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed No50c227.27$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.581060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a74…9a36backed Yes56c220.7$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes77c206$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.553564.7%346 W · 189 L+29.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes51c200.69$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5576941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No42c198$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1617443.1%75 W · 99 L-0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes57c189.66$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.51,11435.8%399 W · 715 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Yes79c177.87$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8531856%178 W · 140 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f45…e6a7backed No42c174.41$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.251136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No42c156.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9438144.1%168 W · 213 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No43c150$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.577855%428 W · 350 L+23.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed No50c148.58$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751050%5 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No14c144.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4479532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked Yes56c136.46$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.048245.1%37 W · 45 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed No45c134.51$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Yes68c127.55$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.829654.1%160 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked No51c117.58$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick62cpaid-46.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5630…7574backed No42c107.15$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+42.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes57c91$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.138347%39 W · 44 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Yes57c88.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.667042.9%30 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Yes57c87.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5212548%60 W · 65 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes53c85$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9531842.1%134 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb730…e9c2backed Yes59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.753122.6%7 W · 24 L-6.7wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-27.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed No19c80.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.476459.4%38 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No44c80$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0679354.2%430 W · 363 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed No44c75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9437043.8%162 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes77c70$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.27855.1%43 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes57c69.87$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9511650.9%59 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked No51c68.79$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No44c66.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6416443.9%72 W · 92 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd32…f000backed No42c58.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.51070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+29.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed No43c58.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.974955.1%27 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed No43c58.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.986358.7%37 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56fa…30cebacked No54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes61c55.31$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7381440.5%330 W · 484 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed No54c55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.75952.5%31 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0f1…5b7fbacked Yes57c52.52$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.522540%10 W · 15 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-22.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xad22…adc2backed Yes57c51.7$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+97.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed Yes61c45.66$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.675667.9%38 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes57c43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.351,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No38c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.24330.2%13 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d10…780bbacked No44c34.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155164.7%33 W · 18 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+26.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No42c33.65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1391950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Yes53c32.6$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3215562.6%97 W · 58 L+22.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+35.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes57c27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6127039.3%106 W · 164 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Yes57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.325959.3%35 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No44c25.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1745135.9%162 W · 289 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed No51c25.34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.833672.2%26 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Yes68c24.91$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.935064%32 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes72c21.74$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0820244.6%90 W · 112 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7127…c7a2backed Yes69c21.38$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.531060%6 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6951…66f3backed Yes58c20.69$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.695145.1%23 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03dc…64fdbacked Yes57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.65766.7%38 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.65151%26 W · 25 L-7.5wins-0.15per pick66cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes69c16.12$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57767.5%52 W · 25 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+3.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.