Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-07-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2963d5e91f2d828d0d5e052894bc8a3cc0e64598f828d73b6daa4d9537a10a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $151,984
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,984 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a39…b0b9backed No | 48c | 109,272$52,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,096.41 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 52c | 39,427$20,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,501.85 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 52c | 19,385$10,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,080.33 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 31c | 14,999$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.81 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 48c | 5,001$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,384.76 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 53c | 4,306$2,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,282.55 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 42c | 4,258$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.08 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 53c | 2,938$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.71 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 23c | 2,766$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.25 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 52c | 2,762$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.48 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 53c | 2,568$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.17 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.96 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 53c | 1,765$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.93 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…344fbacked Yes | 52c | 1,583$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.34 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 52c | 1,207$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.97 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 27c | 1,117$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.28 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 52c | 1,080$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.6 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked No | 71c | 1,014$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.83 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Yes | 51c | 995.76$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.84 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Yes | 53c | 922.84$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.55 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6f…1dfebacked Yes | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 52c | 723$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.52 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 39c | 532.7$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.07 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 54c | 242.56$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.56 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Yes | 25c | 225.35$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.34 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 52c | 214.57$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.46 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5254…891bbacked Yes | 52c | 213.46$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Yes | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 47c | 201.16$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…3d55backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 58c | 144.45$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.78 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb5…1d5bbacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…4501backed Yes | 38c | 113$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x126d…32a5backed Yes | 28c | 105.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 57c | 99.72$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 30c | 94.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 52c | 91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…fa96backed Yes | 53c | 90.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 52c | 90$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…ab12backed Yes | 34c | 81.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf952…602fbacked Yes | 14c | 79.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 56c | 71.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Yes | 52c | 60.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 58c | 59.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 42c | 57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…e292backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 88 | 69.3%61 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Yes | 48c | 42.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Yes | 52c | 38.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 53c | 38.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 73c | 35.93$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 53c | 35.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25b4…635abacked Yes | 54c | 32.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b8…851ebacked Yes | 54c | 27.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0984…296bbacked No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 52c | 23.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 52c | 23.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…64fdbacked Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed1…908cbacked Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Yes | 58c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-07-30?this page
- Will FC Inter Turku vs. Rams Başakşehir FK end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Inter Turku win on 2026-07-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.