La Liga · resolved market
Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b8c312cda3218f2a7fe7932e0be58aa928afa818cfa12351d394d0a4453611b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,890 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1263…fddcbacked Yes | 53c | 1,229$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 42c | 761.62$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.78 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0c…04b6backed Yes | 58c | 551.35$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.4 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 42c | 551$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.58 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 51c | 469.04$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.84 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 47c | 319.78$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.11 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe477…b1b8backed Yes | 53c | 188.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…4f34backed Yes | 60c | 82.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 75%39 W · 13 L | +11.3wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaf…7231backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…d613backed Yes | 55c | 71.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x837d…86dfbacked Yes | 57c | 57.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…cec1backed Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,035 | 47.9%496 W · 539 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Yes | 54c | 37.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…823bbacked Yes | 54c | 31.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e3…68c1backed Yes | 54c | 30.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1969…a09cbacked Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4521…8cb7backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorerthis page
- Juan Hernandez: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Raphinha: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.