Crystal Palace vs. Brentford: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc11a900e1e5eae0c95295e41036b9a156559c14f4806fd299df0f236e018962d

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Nov 1, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $39,089
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $39,191

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,089 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf519…906bbacked Under	49c	16,808$8,161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,646.31	386	49%189 W · 197 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over	51c	9,805$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000.5	218	53.2%116 W · 102 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…e4c8backed Over	57c	8,403$4,773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,773.27	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+14%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over	52c	3,000$1,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,560	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+3.0wins	+0.19per pick	38cpaid	+59.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over	52c	2,000$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,040	181	23.2%42 W · 139 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	48c	1,397$673 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$724.32	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xde91…f20abacked Over	52c	1,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+2.9wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd95…e042backed Over	52c	800$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.8wins	+0.13per pick	52cpaid	+23%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Under	44c	700$308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$392	414	37.9%157 W · 257 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Over	53c	620.4$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.66	370	36.2%134 W · 236 L	-18.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x68d6…cfb9backed Over	34c	588.24$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Over	52c	587.28$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.6	357	58%207 W · 150 L	+12.5wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x561e…3e87backed Over	39c	512.82$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	50	28%14 W · 36 L	-3.3wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under	44c	454.83$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$253.19	215	48.8%105 W · 110 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under	47c	301.85$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161	301	49.5%149 W · 152 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfceb…37dabacked Over	54c	300$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Over	52c	300$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	136	56.6%77 W · 59 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over	40c	283.78$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.51	239	26.4%63 W · 176 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over	54c	271.85$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.8	198	26.3%52 W · 146 L	-14.0wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0521…cc4abacked Over	46c	218.7$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	61	50.8%31 W · 30 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x363c…9b0ebacked Over	52c	200$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.14per pick	50cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Under	49c	150$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.5	173	37.6%65 W · 108 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x553b…f71cbacked Over	53c	150$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.5	54	42.6%23 W · 31 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7541…09d1backed Over	55c	117.87$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Over	52c	105$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.6	99	38.4%38 W · 61 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21b2…b602backed Over	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	59cpaid	-3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under	67c	100$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33	1,224	40%490 W · 734 L	-24.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ce4…da39backed Over	33c	100$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62c8…158bbacked Over	52c	96.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.21per pick	38cpaid	-69.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e60…18dcbacked Over	32c	78.82$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bb1…baddbacked Over	52c	52.88$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cb2…996cbacked Under	48c	52.08$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.08	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e9e…c4efbacked Over	53c	50$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.5	86	31.4%27 W · 59 L	-4.9wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf918…30d5backed Over	52c	48.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	58cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e98…c16cbacked Over	56c	42.86$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over	53c	42.55$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.55	492	54.9%270 W · 222 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c2…f58ebacked Under	47c	42.55$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.55	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…feaebacked Over	53c	41.35$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.96	89	33.7%30 W · 59 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23bd…2ea6backed Over	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-4.1wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfa1a…d9abbacked Over	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	428	62.4%267 W · 161 L	-11.7wins	-0.03per pick	65cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0832…4130backed Over	56c	35.66$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.97	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3fd…dbc5backed Under	45c	35.66$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.61	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.6wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+114%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Over	53c	34.28$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.24	201	50.2%101 W · 100 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa26e…d280backed Over	54c	27.78$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	100	31%31 W · 69 L	-8.4wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-12%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a26…7300backed Over	49c	26.4$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	123	42.3%52 W · 71 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e44…2087backed Under	69c	25$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.75	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	23cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x808b…48c8backed Under	45c	23.33$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.83	27	70.4%19 W · 8 L	+3.8wins	+0.14per pick	56cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7c4…91b8backed Over	56c	21.59$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	35	40%14 W · 21 L	-3.0wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6be6…45bbbacked Over	56c	21.43$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.16per pick	52cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeedf…1483backed Over	54c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	60	40%24 W · 36 L	-5.9wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Crystal Palace vs. Brentford: O/U 2.5this page
Crystal Palace vs. Brentford: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Spread: Crystal Palace (-0.5)Crystal Palace won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Crystal Palace vs. Brentford: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event