CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Metizport - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb55b430f7290ec0ce0fb54ac3138709d1ae0304ba027bc79b16e43ee492f155b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liquidof Liquid, Metizport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,104
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,104 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Metizport | 7c | 1,668$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.81 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Liquid | 67c | 1,499$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.63 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Metizport | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Metizport | 33c | 999.97$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Liquid | 72c | 687.82$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.04 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Metizport | 31c | 643.74$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.01 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Metizport | 18c | 620.95$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.07 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked Liquid | 67c | 430.58$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.09 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Metizport | 8c | 360.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Metizport | 16c | 356.36$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fca…6ac3backed Metizport | 19c | 325.75$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.59 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Liquid | 77c | 309.69$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.69 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed03…1caabacked Liquid | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Liquid | 66c | 290$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.1 | 194 | 57.2%111 W · 83 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Metizport | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.03 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Metizport | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…a834backed Liquid | 73c | 151.09$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Metizport | 28c | 131.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Metizport | 36c | 125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4038…35e4backed Liquid | 66c | 113.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Metizport | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Metizport | 23c | 91.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Metizport | 31c | 86.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Liquid | 61c | 81.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Metizport | 17c | 62.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…1a5abacked Metizport | 38c | 52.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c79…ddf6backed Liquid | 69c | 49.44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Liquid | 77c | 43.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Liquid | 69c | 41.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…5478backed Metizport | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Metizport | 39c | 37.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Liquid | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed Metizport | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 292 | 46.9%137 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Liquid | 66c | 30.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8818…f8acbacked Liquid | 71c | 29.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Liquid | 72c | 17.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17a…f7e5backed Liquid | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Metizport - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Metizport (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 12Liquid won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Metizport - Map 2 WinnerLiquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Metizport (+1.5)Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.