CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Metizport (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9109eea32896b105114b4de9e8fdaa9b1070873112e0f38468a261ba50be7834
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liquidof Liquid, Metizport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Metizport | 52c | 6,322$3,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,273.94 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Metizport | 54c | 4,035$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.02 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed Liquid | 46c | 3,460$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,856.02 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Liquid | 48c | 2,945$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.3 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcefd…d6aabacked Liquid | 46c | 2,108$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.2 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Metizport | 54c | 1,977$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.81 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Metizport | 55c | 1,663$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.56 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Metizport | 53c | 1,470$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.09 | 610 | 55.9%341 W · 269 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Liquid | 48c | 1,124$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.5 | 859 | 46.1%396 W · 463 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Liquid | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Liquid | 48c | 945.91$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.87 | 343 | 40.8%140 W · 203 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…864bbacked Liquid | 42c | 914.11$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.9 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Liquid | 39c | 750$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.5 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | +12.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Liquid | 46c | 705.84$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.15 | 1,041 | 53.1%553 W · 488 L | +63.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Liquid | 46c | 652.16$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 338 | 44.4%150 W · 188 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc79b…b9eebacked Liquid | 43c | 602.43$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.43 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Metizport | 51c | 587.74$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.89 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fe…3c28backed Liquid | 21c | 583$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.56 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1d…c307backed Liquid | 45c | 554.79$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.53 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Metizport | 53c | 500$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 577 | 40.4%233 W · 344 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Liquid | 46c | 492.13$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.76 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Liquid | 43c | 420.81$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.07 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Liquid | 48c | 374.58$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.78 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Liquid | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 225 | 41.8%94 W · 131 L | -14.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Metizport | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 1,007 | 48.5%488 W · 519 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Liquid | 46c | 297$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.41 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Liquid | 47c | 288.52$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.73 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Metizport | 55c | 269.89$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.44 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Liquid | 41c | 264.83$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.93 | 362 | 39.2%142 W · 220 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked Liquid | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 298 | 54.7%163 W · 135 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Metizport | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 747 | 54.6%408 W · 339 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Liquid | 48c | 197$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.44 | 338 | 44.4%150 W · 188 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Metizport | 15c | 162.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Liquid | 47c | 147.47$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.16 | 217 | 45.2%98 W · 119 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8a…76a2backed Liquid | 53c | 143.4$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.4 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Liquid | 46c | 142$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.68 | 144 | 41.7%60 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Liquid | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x921d…ea14backed Liquid | 44c | 117.39$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.74 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ca…bc47backed Liquid | 44c | 111.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.36 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Liquid | 47c | 110$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb716…1873backed Liquid | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Liquid | 49c | 102$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…8dcfbacked Liquid | 19c | 97.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.64 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +10.8wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Liquid | 48c | 92.71$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.21 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Metizport | 61c | 78.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Metizport | 54c | 76.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Metizport | 18c | 60.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…0e9cbacked Liquid | 43c | 60.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…b434backed Liquid | 21c | 58.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +380%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…5addbacked Liquid | 43c | 54.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Metizport | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Metizport | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Metizport | 21c | 49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Liquid | 46c | 43.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 297 | 52.2%155 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…f70cbacked Metizport | 55c | 41.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Metizport | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa5…00b2backed Liquid | 47c | 34.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Liquid | 46c | 31.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Metizport | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497e…a18abacked Metizport | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Liquid | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 404 | 55.4%224 W · 180 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Metizport | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Metizport | 52c | 22.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked Metizport | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Metizport (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Metizport (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 12Liquid won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Metizport - Map 1 WinnerLiquid won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Metizport - Map 2 WinnerLiquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.