Tennis · resolved market
Will Marton Fucsovics win the 2025 ATP Winston-Salem tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7664a65fe4aeee0256078e636df140b19527496a943ebb562b7cb9e9761dca70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,471
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,471 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 5c | 5,438$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.96 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 0c | 5,040$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed No | 51c | 1,975$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Yes | 46c | 1,558$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.12 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 31c | 1,258$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.98 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked No | 45c | 925$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.02 | 284 | 51.1%145 W · 139 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32a7…3e01backed Yes | 63c | 824.99$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.07 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Yes | 59c | 595.24$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.24 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 59c | 512.37$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.37 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 77c | 499$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.29 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Yes | 58c | 341.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.88 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…f2f0backed No | 14c | 330$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed Yes | 73c | 157.75$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 73c | 93.34$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691e…d59dbacked Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Marton Fucsovics win the 2025 ATP Winston-Salem tournament?this page
- Will Botic Van De Zandschulp win the 2025 ATP Winston-Salem tournament?No won
- Will Gabriel Diallo win the 2025 ATP Winston-Salem tournament?No won
- Will Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard win the 2025 ATP Winston-Salem tournament?No won
- Will Hamad Medjedovic win the 2025 ATP Winston-Salem tournament?No won
- Will Sebastian Korda win the 2025 ATP Winston-Salem tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.