Tweets · resolved market
Will White House post 200+ posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d7d8028f8fdec72c1a9af23af13c3412ac29316d94c3d8eec37527cc21890d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 10c | 1,075$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.65 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 71c | 848.74$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.84 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9faa…bbedbacked Yes | 57c | 484.12$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 175 | 16.6%29 W · 146 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 19c | 472.59$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeab…d961backed Yes | 9c | 428.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes | 5c | 410.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes | 10c | 298.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 559 | 8.2%46 W · 513 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 16c | 240$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 62c | 234.69$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.5 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1556…6564backed Yes | 40c | 225.42$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.03 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 59c | 205.77$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.9 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes | 8c | 204.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 427 | 19.2%82 W · 345 L | +23.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x652e…4a94backed Yes | 14c | 194.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 133 | 23.3%31 W · 102 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe183…3e16backed Yes | 21c | 170$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0262…a9d2backed Yes | 18c | 156.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -5.4wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 42c | 152$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.38 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 20c | 145.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x708e…d03fbacked Yes | 38c | 128.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…64f8backed Yes | 29c | 102.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 10c | 100.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 229 | 26.6%61 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x061c…8b9abacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 491 | 6.7%33 W · 458 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 64c | 94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf880…3628backed No | 74c | 79.69$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa920…a07abacked Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…67b8backed No | 74c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 59c | 67.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 336 | 70.2%236 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…33b5backed Yes | 50c | 60.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6231…84bbbacked Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2225…bee7backed Yes | 28c | 40.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…e64fbacked No | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 71c | 37.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 395 | 18.7%74 W · 321 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x71e2…147abacked No | 66c | 30.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6954…f394backed Yes | 37c | 27.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 145 | 75.9%110 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 56c | 22.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 264 | 61.7%163 W · 101 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 79c | 15.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.24 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will White House post 200+ posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?this page
- Will White House post 100-119 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 120-139 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 140-159 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Yes won
- Will White House post 60-79 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 80-99 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.