Mls · resolved market
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e355df5ba8fc3834ae29a2098c6035ee86c37752546908588420be98b84a628
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x916f…53babacked No | 61c | 47,777$29,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,777.71 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 40c | 12,416$4,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,973.16 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 11,261$4,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,364.51 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 39c | 7,571$2,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,934.72 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 39c | 6,735$2,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,612.75 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 39c | 5,696$2,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,223.05 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 39c | 4,341$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.54 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Yes | 40c | 2,200$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 37c | 2,012$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.47 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 39c | 1,415$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.02 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 39c | 1,261$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.16 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 39c | 1,032$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.81 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Yes | 15c | 666.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 39c | 649$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.68 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked No | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 59c | 474.61$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.59 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 37c | 426$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.62 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 63c | 387.38$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.57 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Yes | 37c | 368$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.16 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 39c | 327$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.53 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…b24ebacked Yes | 39c | 307$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.19 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 306.77$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.52 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 39c | 260$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 17c | 226.53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 39c | 212.27$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…cf96backed Yes | 39c | 154.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 33c | 137.73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 36c | 121.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x275a…4d33backed Yes | 38c | 116.19$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 37c | 100.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 206 | 41.3%85 W · 121 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +13.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 41c | 98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 39c | 77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 42c | 72.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes | 19c | 68.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked No | 61c | 55.29$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca6…77dfbacked Yes | 38c | 52.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Yes | 39c | 51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71e1…45f0backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed No | 61c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 28c | 49.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 39c | 48.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…cbd5backed No | 61c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked No | 60c | 39.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a9…91ccbacked Yes | 38c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 39c | 37.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 41c | 35.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 39c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 39c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe112…1928backed Yes | 37c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed No | 64c | 28.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 40c | 27.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 40c | 27.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 63c | 25.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 79c | 23.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…45e9backed No | 59c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5424…7a1bbacked No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nashville SC win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will FC Dallas vs. Nashville SC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Dallas win on 2026-02-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.