Mls · resolved market
Will FC Dallas win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x802b6972cce4cbca6aeaf0377b403bceefc97386585b8883adecf2a6aee8c654
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 66c | 4,665$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.53 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 34c | 3,935$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.94 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 1,033$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.18 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 66c | 938.05$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.02 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Yes | 13c | 769.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 711.03$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.87 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 33c | 620.59$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.18 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 70c | 415.62$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.59 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 25c | 398.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 33c | 345.02$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.86 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 33c | 243.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.46 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…6a3abacked Yes | 33c | 236.36$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2246…e958backed Yes | 31c | 225.92$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 67c | 214.03$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.64 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 31c | 209.84$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 30c | 180.52$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 66c | 180$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 67c | 163.36$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.92 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 45c | 118$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3326…2d1ebacked Yes | 18c | 111.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46a…baf8backed Yes | 34c | 103$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 55c | 98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +13.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Yes | 35c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 71.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…843bbacked Yes | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8750…0841backed No | 72c | 68.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 21c | 48.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 21c | 48.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 30c | 48.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e01…a0b0backed Yes | 36c | 40.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…3a2abacked No | 69c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 29c | 35.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae2…8d89backed Yes | 34c | 30.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Yes | 35c | 29.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…106cbacked No | 65c | 26.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked No | 68c | 24.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed No | 73c | 19.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 65c | 17.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2b…d0d2backed No | 72c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9f…3544backed No | 70c | 16.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Dallas win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will FC Dallas vs. Nashville SC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Nashville SC win on 2026-02-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.