Tennis · resolved market
Tigre: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Stefan Palosi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86a3d85bfbea905162a7ff5f480f3cc4e6f09fdc25b15f804f56d31d976338e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Palosiof Taverna, Palosi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Palosi | 50c | 5,201$2,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,605.03 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Palosi | 57c | 3,310$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.3 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Taverna | 56c | 2,685$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.11 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Taverna | 30c | 1,349$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.33 | 199 | 38.2%76 W · 123 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Palosi | 48c | 876.84$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.16 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Taverna | 53c | 744.12$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.41 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Taverna | 50c | 667.07$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.37 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Taverna | 31c | 600$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Taverna | 49c | 445.88$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.24 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Palosi | 77c | 359$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.79 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Palosi | 44c | 246.85$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.37 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | +18.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71e1…45f0backed Taverna | 57c | 233.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.52 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Taverna | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 465 | 51.2%238 W · 227 L | -23.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Taverna | 79c | 200$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Taverna | 52c | 199$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.57 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…d11fbacked Taverna | 53c | 183.1$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.49 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Palosi | 56c | 151.16$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.78 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bec…37d3backed Palosi | 63c | 137.9$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.02 | 142 | 72.5%103 W · 39 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Palosi | 49c | 132.41$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.34 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Palosi | 67c | 112.93$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Taverna | 59c | 99.01$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.07 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Palosi | 73c | 86$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…fef0backed Palosi | 48c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 226 | 34.5%78 W · 148 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Palosi | 52c | 78.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Taverna | 49c | 77.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Palosi | 64c | 76.41$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Palosi | 68c | 75.09$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…bce8backed Palosi | 51c | 72.29$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x612e…8427backed Palosi | 49c | 67.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Palosi | 59c | 58.86$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 368 | 39.1%144 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Taverna | 47c | 57.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Taverna | 37c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Taverna | 64c | 50.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Taverna | 47c | 44.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc7…31e1backed Palosi | 52c | 42.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Taverna | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Palosi | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8339…caa9backed Palosi | 52c | 38.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…3415backed Palosi | 52c | 36.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Palosi | 58c | 35.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Taverna | 48c | 33.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Palosi | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Palosi | 37c | 28.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Palosi | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.