Europa Conference League · resolved market
KÍ vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c559214fe7f941c6773fd0fa4f06285726e2da342928c9371a1e8596cb33eb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd97d…6bf4backed Under | 49c | 6,310$3,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,091.97 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 51c | 4,614$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,243.83 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 52c | 1,885$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.39 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 29c | 1,600$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.48 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 47c | 1,133$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.57 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 44c | 1,064$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.9 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 48c | 1,027$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.81 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 45c | 797.78$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 68c | 672.01$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.7 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 11c | 495$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 56c | 473.1$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.22 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 55c | 440.34$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.15 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1737…2b2fbacked Under | 45c | 373.07$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.86 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Over | 51c | 334.88$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.71 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 77c | 334.87$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.02 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 47c | 275.36$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.1 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 52c | 272.15$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.89 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 42c | 239.13$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 51c | 230$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.35 | 96 | 68.8%66 W · 30 L | +11.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 70c | 196.91$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.07 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 39c | 192.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.08 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 55c | 187.64$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.44 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 54c | 185.4$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.21 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 56c | 138.93$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.49 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 61c | 130.74$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 51c | 130.7$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.04 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +22.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 14c | 129.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1d…a01abacked Over | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 56c | 96.48$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Over | 61c | 90$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 123 | 36.6%45 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 58c | 85.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 56c | 85.18$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Under | 45c | 78.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 28c | 70.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 51c | 64.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 58c | 60.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb42…176ebacked Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Under | 49c | 46.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Under | 49c | 44.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 43c | 44.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c8…7f69backed Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 55c | 39.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 44c | 39.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 63c | 30.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 39c | 28.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 58c | 27.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Over | 67c | 27.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +8.4wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…c179backed Over | 55c | 26.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6767…15bebacked Under | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 68c | 26.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 60c | 17.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- KÍ vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 2.5this page
- KÍ vs. KKS Lech Poznań: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- KÍ vs. KKS Lech Poznań: KKS Lech Poznań 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- KÍ vs. KKS Lech Poznań: KKS Lech Poznań O/U 1.5Over won
- KÍ vs. KKS Lech Poznań: KKS Lech Poznań O/U 2.5Over won
- KÍ vs. KKS Lech Poznań: KÍ O/U 1.5Under won
- KÍ vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 0.5Over won
- KÍ vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 1.5Over won
- KÍ vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 3.5Over won
- KÍ vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 4.5Over won
- KÍ vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5Under won
- KÍ vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Team to AdvanceKKS Lech Poznań won
- Spread: KKS Lech Poznań (-1.5)KKS Lech Poznań won
- Spread: KKS Lech Poznań (-2.5)KKS Lech Poznań won
- Spread: KÍ (-2.5)KKS Lech Poznań won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.