Europa Conference League · resolved market
KÍ vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2e3924a965f1a580e95e02617867d361f752748f618b0ce2939f5e6c022f9f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Over | 35c | 1,520$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.79 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x990e…cecfbacked Under | 68c | 1,320$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 67c | 1,047$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Under | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 65c | 600$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 33c | 544.91$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.09 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 67c | 527.6$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.15 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 6c | 450$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 65c | 450$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 37c | 392.22$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.96 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 21c | 379.75$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Over | 26c | 357$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.41 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +8.4wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 34c | 313$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.22 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Under | 65c | 308.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 28c | 307.5$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.16 | 96 | 68.8%66 W · 30 L | +11.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 35c | 279.03$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.59 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd04…c5e1backed Under | 79c | 247.95$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.56 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 76c | 238.09$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.01 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 23c | 201.09$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.84 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 66c | 200.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.47 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 65c | 190.55$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.86 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Over | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xded4…1e6dbacked Under | 62c | 161.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 36c | 156.87$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.29 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 67c | 154.29$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.37 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 31c | 147.19$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.84 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb111…393ebacked Under | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 26c | 140.36$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.27 | 40 | 82.5%33 W · 7 L | +11.3wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 33c | 139.93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.23 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 16c | 131.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 70c | 116$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 20c | 106.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 33c | 104.64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.54 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 36c | 101.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.43 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 12c | 91.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 61c | 88.52$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.91 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 67c | 86.05$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 40c | 74.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 63c | 72.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 34c | 70$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 61c | 68.72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 64c | 62.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 48c | 61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 42c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 74c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Over | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 36c | 30.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- KÍ vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 3.5this page
- KÍ vs. KKS Lech Poznań: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- KÍ vs. KKS Lech Poznań: KKS Lech Poznań 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- KÍ vs. KKS Lech Poznań: KKS Lech Poznań O/U 1.5Over won
- KÍ vs. KKS Lech Poznań: KKS Lech Poznań O/U 2.5Over won
- KÍ vs. KKS Lech Poznań: KÍ O/U 1.5Under won
- KÍ vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 0.5Over won
- KÍ vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 1.5Over won
- KÍ vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 2.5Over won
- KÍ vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 4.5Over won
- KÍ vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5Under won
- KÍ vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Team to AdvanceKKS Lech Poznań won
- Spread: KKS Lech Poznań (-1.5)KKS Lech Poznań won
- Spread: KKS Lech Poznań (-2.5)KKS Lech Poznań won
- Spread: KÍ (-2.5)KKS Lech Poznań won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.