TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$262,354
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$262,428

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $262,354 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Over47c200,000$94,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105,999.9843647%205 W · 231 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under53c122,362$65,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,340.51,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb727…2a9dbacked Under52c79,237$41,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,203.254645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8239…d9a3backed Under53c20,755$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,0008166.7%54 W · 27 L+9.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under52c20,482$10,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,650.5171650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over47c17,974$8,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,526.3385645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over52c6,906$3,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,322.2811,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked Over47c6,012$2,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,186.3845445.2%205 W · 249 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over58c3,856$2,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,637.858,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Over46c3,686$1,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,983.4245252.4%237 W · 215 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081b…1c6abacked Under52c3,058$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5904445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over47c2,954$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,562.121,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under51c2,859$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,467.4828350.9%144 W · 139 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over47c2,791$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.463,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over47c2,782$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,475.966,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x547f…2937backed Under53c1,741$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.8213856.5%78 W · 60 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over57c1,132$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.182,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under52c1,042$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.8468053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba62…3e29backed Over49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.4122149.3%109 W · 112 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5401,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over49c993.61$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.692,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dd2…14c2backed Under52c799.98$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.996246.8%29 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under52c748$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.191,29151%658 W · 633 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over46c686$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.4470744.7%316 W · 391 L-22.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Over49c672$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.7228753.3%153 W · 134 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Over49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.2425751.8%133 W · 124 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bdd…8fd9backed Under53c471.7$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over48c433.98$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.671,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Over49c416$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.1627952%145 W · 134 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b22…9431backed Under53c416$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.487360.3%44 W · 29 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Under52c392.08$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.8856253.2%299 W · 263 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Over47c339$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.671,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over49c282$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.448,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over47c275.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.1654642.5%232 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over48c270$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.42,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Under53c260$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.844949.2%221 W · 228 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked Over47c257.31$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.158352.1%304 W · 279 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9deb…536fbacked Under52c204.91$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.555655.4%31 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbedb…6bc3backed Under52c204.9$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.552572%18 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+42.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under53c201.5$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.84,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over51c199.08$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.5510,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17d9…84afbacked Over47c194$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.829446.8%44 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Under52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b25…edc5backed Under52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007846.2%36 W · 42 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over46c177$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.5845045.8%206 W · 244 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Under52c163.85$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.238551.4%198 W · 187 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7100…c12abacked Under13c150$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.52045%9 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid-9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Over48c144$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.881,29950.9%661 W · 638 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over48c114.6$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.593,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11a5…2fa8backed Over47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3822254.1%120 W · 102 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68aa…0f92backed Under53c103.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e53…922dbacked Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029747.1%140 W · 157 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013344.4%59 W · 74 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015147.7%72 W · 79 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b94…09dcbacked Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011441.2%47 W · 67 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbae…9720backed Under53c94.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.991752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6fc…9d95backed Over49c89.12$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.451872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+36.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd233…14f3backed Over47c89$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.172751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Under54c89$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0635650.6%180 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under54c80.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.061,19550%597 W · 598 L+5.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over73c80$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Under54c75$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.51643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under54c68.74$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.122,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a96…b382backed Over49c68$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6839652.8%209 W · 187 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under15c66.91$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.041,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Over49c65$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1520551.7%106 W · 99 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b1d…a01abacked Over48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.56152.5%32 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c4…85c2backed Under52c61.45$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.955858.6%34 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a51…bf4cbacked Over49c55$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0527852.2%145 W · 133 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked Over48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0873143.4%317 W · 414 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over47c51.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.32,94447.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L+4.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed Over47c50.01$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6834149.3%168 W · 173 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69d2…a218backed Under54c46.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258149.4%40 W · 41 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2558649.5%290 W · 296 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7774…2b2cbacked Under52c41.66$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.666448.4%31 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde36…f41cbacked Under52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015841.8%66 W · 92 L-12.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a89…eddabacked Under52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf8c…e040backed Over60c38.35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2517548%84 W · 91 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over48c37.51$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6534846.8%163 W · 185 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Under54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013152.7%69 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over48c33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3388147.8%421 W · 460 L+4.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e9e…4a0abacked Over48c27.08$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.082250%11 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…bf6cbacked Under53c26.62$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.111040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf579…b098backed Under53c25.81$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.68785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick63cpaid+34.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over46c24.86$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4278754.6%430 W · 357 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over80c21$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.228,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Under52c20.06$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4330554.4%166 W · 139 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60d0…2e36backed Over61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7720552.7%108 W · 97 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e4a…4efebacked Under52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.47546.7%35 W · 40 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.