MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6fa2641be3f17195c4be6efecd96fdfc2e9f2bf030142fdc52894c44fa10ad2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $262,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $262,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $262,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 47c | 200,000$94,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105,999.98 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 53c | 122,362$65,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,340.5 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb727…2a9dbacked Under | 52c | 79,237$41,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,203.25 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Under | 53c | 20,755$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 52c | 20,482$10,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,650.51 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 47c | 17,974$8,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,526.33 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 52c | 6,906$3,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,322.28 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 47c | 6,012$2,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,186.38 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 58c | 3,856$2,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.85 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 46c | 3,686$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983.42 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081b…1c6abacked Under | 52c | 3,058$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 47c | 2,954$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.12 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 51c | 2,859$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.48 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 47c | 2,791$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.46 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 2,782$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.96 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 53c | 1,741$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.82 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 57c | 1,132$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.18 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 52c | 1,042$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.84 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 49c | 993.61$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.69 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…14c2backed Under | 52c | 799.98$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.99 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 52c | 748$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.19 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 46c | 686$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.44 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Over | 49c | 672$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.72 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdd…8fd9backed Under | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 48c | 433.98$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.67 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Over | 49c | 416$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.16 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b22…9431backed Under | 53c | 416$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.48 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 52c | 392.08$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.88 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 47c | 339$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.67 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 49c | 282$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.44 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 47c | 275.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.16 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 48c | 270$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 53c | 260$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.8 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Over | 47c | 257.31$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.1 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Under | 52c | 204.91$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.55 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Under | 52c | 204.9$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.55 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 53c | 201.5$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.8 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 199.08$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.55 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Over | 47c | 194$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.82 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…edc5backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 46c | 177$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.58 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Under | 52c | 163.85$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.2 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…c12abacked Under | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Over | 48c | 144$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.88 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 48c | 114.6$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a5…2fa8backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 222 | 54.1%120 W · 102 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68aa…0f92backed Under | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 44.4%59 W · 74 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbae…9720backed Under | 53c | 94.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fc…9d95backed Over | 49c | 89.12$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd233…14f3backed Over | 47c | 89$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 54c | 89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 54c | 80.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Under | 54c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 54c | 68.74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed Over | 49c | 68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 396 | 52.8%209 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 15c | 66.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Over | 49c | 65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 205 | 51.7%106 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1d…a01abacked Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c4…85c2backed Under | 52c | 61.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Over | 49c | 55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 278 | 52.2%145 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 731 | 43.4%317 W · 414 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Over | 47c | 50.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 341 | 49.3%168 W · 173 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Under | 54c | 46.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7774…2b2cbacked Under | 52c | 41.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 158 | 41.8%66 W · 92 L | -12.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a89…eddabacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Over | 60c | 38.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 48c | 37.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 48c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 881 | 47.8%421 W · 460 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9e…4a0abacked Over | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…bf6cbacked Under | 53c | 26.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf579…b098backed Under | 53c | 25.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 63cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 46c | 24.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 787 | 54.6%430 W · 357 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 80c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 52c | 20.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…4efebacked Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston AstrosLos Angeles Angels won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros: O/U 11.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros: O/U 13.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston AstrosYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.