South American Leagues · resolved market
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25998e92db355987a1865ff3512738ee990c451f8179f0aef5253a0d6dbd48be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 7,917$5,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,082.32 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 26c | 7,390$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.28 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Over | 28c | 5,312$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 72c | 1,670$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.61 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 73c | 1,239$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.97 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 34c | 1,228$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.4 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 72c | 1,154$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.74 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9805…a997backed Under | 64c | 1,029$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.01 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 66c | 821$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.14 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 36c | 813.1$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.72 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 26c | 542.19$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.97 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…345cbacked Over | 36c | 519.44$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 28c | 516.93$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.74 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 11c | 494.82$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.43 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked Under | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 36c | 171.38$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Under | 66c | 152.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.24 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 37c | 152$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.73 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 71c | 139.58$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Over | 36c | 105$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed Over | 35c | 98.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…307abacked Under | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 35c | 82.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 79c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…0769backed Under | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Under | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Under | 77c | 41.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 65c | 38.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…b8bfbacked Under | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 34c | 35.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x843c…529ebacked Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd01…245fbacked Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 35c | 30.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06fd…2688backed Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…79b1backed Under | 63c | 27.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 67cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 78c | 25.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed Under | 64c | 23.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b4…635abacked Under | 64c | 15.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 60 | 78.3%47 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 80cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 2.5this page
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Paranaense: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Paranaense: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Paranaense: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Paranaense: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Paranaense: CA Paranaense O/U 0.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 0.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 1.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 4.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Paranaense: SC Corinthians Paulista O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: CA Paranaense (-1.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: CA Paranaense (-2.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)CA Paranaense won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.