South American Leagues · resolved market
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4ac8bd19c5a4c33ec7b986ff059a200e98e131f50c9bb4a67b4354f10d0a3c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 16,533$10,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,799.87 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 29c | 9,651$2,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,805 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 39c | 6,826$2,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,674.39 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf837…bd42backed Under | 73c | 5,480$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 51c | 4,867$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397.34 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 62c | 3,181$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972.34 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 42c | 2,511$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.83 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0d…72a0backed Over | 2c | 2,511$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +186.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 23c | 2,062$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.2 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 38c | 1,250$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9805…a997backed Under | 36c | 1,024$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.29 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 11c | 1,006$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.65 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 38c | 1,001$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.03 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked Over | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 39c | 999.98$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.99 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Over | 2c | 945.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 64c | 907.06$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.11 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 13c | 795.01$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.1 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 64c | 780.22$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.74 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 26c | 665.38$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c78…c49fbacked Over | 75c | 380.12$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 60c | 350.57$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.18 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 63c | 325$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.75 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 60c | 302.36$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.51 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked Under | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 57c | 247.78$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.88 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 50c | 204.86$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.43 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe065…df75backed Over | 58c | 168.96$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 56c | 141.7$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 22c | 139.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 28c | 138.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 61c | 138.05$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.81 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 36c | 134.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.15 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9726…fb3fbacked Over | 62c | 129.03$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 38c | 101.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.22 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 25c | 96.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 28c | 95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 73c | 90.96$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 17c | 87.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.33 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed Over | 62c | 81.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 27c | 80.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 62c | 79.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb968…0a63backed Under | 62c | 78.79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 68c | 70.01$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Over | 65c | 66.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.03 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 27c | 64.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 36c | 50.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…0769backed Under | 38c | 46.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 37c | 41.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 64c | 35.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 65c | 32.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 62c | 31.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…6716backed Under | 37c | 30.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 63c | 22.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed Over | 66c | 22.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 64c | 21.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ad…01a3backed Under | 80c | 19.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 60 | 78.3%47 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 80cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 1.5this page
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Paranaense: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Paranaense: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Paranaense: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Paranaense: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Paranaense: CA Paranaense O/U 0.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 0.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 4.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Paranaense: SC Corinthians Paulista O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: CA Paranaense (-1.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: CA Paranaense (-2.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)CA Paranaense won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.