South American Leagues · resolved market
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Paranaense: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbd84d0e1adbe066058ffad442269d726c8e2d88e754a45bac21af08e6066769
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 43c | 6,055$2,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,592.39 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 1,774$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.78 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.22 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 70c | 1,371$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.14 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 57c | 1,250$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.5 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 57c | 905.1$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.19 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 43c | 815.24$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.4 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 57c | 711.54$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.65 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 79c | 568.63$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.41 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes | 17c | 425.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.42 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 7c | 357.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1636…977bbacked Yes | 44c | 292.17$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Yes | 43c | 290.7$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 57c | 229.18$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.55 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 55c | 201.04$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.47 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…258abacked Yes | 35c | 199.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x560b…a72dbacked Yes | 6c | 173.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…f152backed No | 58c | 151.17$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 13c | 125.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…40ecbacked Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 26c | 109.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 58c | 90.77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 57c | 74.42$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 22c | 64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 80c | 64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 79c | 62.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 41c | 59.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 43c | 52.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe60…5eb9backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…dc99backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66db…370fbacked No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 56c | 34.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17ab…81bbbacked Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 72c | 32.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6618…3733backed Yes | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Paranaense: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Paranaense: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Paranaense: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Paranaense: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Paranaense: CA Paranaense O/U 0.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 0.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 1.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 4.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Paranaense: SC Corinthians Paulista O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: CA Paranaense (-1.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: CA Paranaense (-2.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)CA Paranaense won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.