TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Paranaense: CA Paranaense O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,998
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,323

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,998 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Over19c2,355$453 inLost-$452.543,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb340…1ad1backed Under78c1,909$1,489 inWon+$420.01540%2 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick76cpaid-48%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1510…fe91backed Over59c765.9$449 inLost-$449.142556%14 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over58c670.18$392 inLost-$391.748,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under41c507.9$208 inWon+$299.6617055.3%94 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3bd…6dddbacked Under41c499.96$205 inWon+$294.982100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+141%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under42c289.96$120 inWon+$169.6341654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed Over61c190.87$116 inLost-$116.4312439.5%49 W · 75 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over59c169.49$100 inLost-$1009148.4%44 W · 47 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under69c148.09$102 inWon+$45.8589846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Over31c148.09$46 inLost-$45.8511640.5%47 W · 69 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under39c119$46 inWon+$72.592,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under42c104$44 inWon+$60.3230754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Over59c83.36$49 inLost-$49.1855250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under43c80$34 inWon+$45.642462.3%264 W · 160 L+24.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Under41c69$28 inWon+$40.7129653%157 W · 139 L+1.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3743…7bc1backed Over60c66.67$40 inLost-$402642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb323…e253backed Under46c45.22$21 inWon+$24.42785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+44.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over59c42.37$25 inLost-$2564633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under40c41.37$17 inWon+$24.8217951.4%92 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Over59c21.36$13 inLost-$12.750656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48fe…825cbacked Over60c20.4$12 inLost-$12.24119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.32per pick41cpaid-85.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Over59c17.19$10 inLost-$10.269453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.