Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: FS (-1.5) vs ONSIDE GAMING (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2744a48d95efefdc4a62a9b289cfe7ce2ff5f027c47d2e7f95c0f66df3de8d26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ONSIDE GAMINGof FULL SENSE, ONSIDE GAMING
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed ONSIDE GAMING | 66c | 5,000$3,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.98 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…0f3abacked FULL SENSE | 33c | 1,661$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.23 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed FULL SENSE | 35c | 1,563$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.21 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed FULL SENSE | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked FULL SENSE | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed FULL SENSE | 35c | 382.86$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked FULL SENSE | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed FULL SENSE | 33c | 44.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed ONSIDE GAMING | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 184 | 65.2%120 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4442…238cbacked FULL SENSE | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed ONSIDE GAMING | 62c | 21.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed ONSIDE GAMING | 61c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…bd32backed ONSIDE GAMING | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FS (-1.5) vs ONSIDE GAMING (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-InONSIDE GAMING won
- Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs FULL SENSE - Map 1 WinnerONSIDE GAMING won
- Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 WinnerONSIDE GAMING won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.