Euroleague · resolved market
Basquet Girona vs. Unicaja
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f2b4ad2a869473dfb2742ef26bbde1fd75631ec8f6ced6dedb470138e9bab07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Unicajaof Basquet Girona, Unicaja
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,976 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f19…febfbacked Unicaja | 63c | 3,467$2,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb09e…3a13backed Basquet Girona | 37c | 3,461$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Basquet Girona | 36c | 1,099$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.42 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Unicaja | 63c | 946.89$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.89 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Basquet Girona | 37c | 581.35$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.36 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Basquet Girona | 38c | 548.91$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.57 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…bb17backed Unicaja | 63c | 457.85$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.85 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Unicaja | 63c | 351.64$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.51 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Unicaja | 66c | 242.42$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.42 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe378…148ebacked Unicaja | 76c | 212.91$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…c91dbacked Unicaja | 62c | 206.45$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Unicaja | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Basquet Girona | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f6…cef1backed Unicaja | 63c | 113.42$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Unicaja | 63c | 110.32$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Basquet Girona | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Unicaja | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Basquet Girona | 27c | 108.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Basquet Girona | 18c | 99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Basquet Girona | 15c | 87.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 23cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…bd58backed Unicaja | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda86…6ff9backed Basquet Girona | 38c | 66.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Basquet Girona | 35c | 47.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Basquet Girona | 36c | 32.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Unicaja | 75c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x296f…dd54backed Unicaja | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad34…9f3abacked Unicaja | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d97…f2edbacked Unicaja | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf526…6589backed Unicaja | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.